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Israel Business Forecast Report Q4 2012

740.8

Select License Type

Electronic License

Electronic License

An electronic version (mostly PDF, but can be Excel or PPT), which is either available for immediate download or will be sent via email by the Publisher of the report. The licencing for an electronic version is for use by the purchaser ONLY.

£740.80

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Market

All Sectors

Report Type

Country Guide

Country

Israel

Published

24 October 2012

Number of Pages

45

Report Delivery

Download

Delivery Lead Time

Immediate

Publisher

Business Monitor International

File Format

PDF

Elevated risks of instability in Israels neighbours, including Jordan, Lebanon, Syria and the West Bank and Gaza, have raised political risks, and investorsrisk appetite may be tempered by the potential for a spillover of instability into the countrys borders. We hold to our view that the Bank of Israel will lower its benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.00% before end-2012, as we see economic growth struggling amid the weaker external climate.

Major Forecast Changes

Lacklustre external demand is weighing on the Israeli economy, and weak data have led us to revise down our 2012 real GDP growth forecast from 2.9% to 2.8%. Fiscal policy will become less supportive over the coming quarters, and leading indicator data bode poorly for the prospects for private consumption and gross fixed capital formation.

Key Risks To Outlook

House prices in Israel have risen rapidly in recent years, raising concerns that a bubble has formed in the property market. However, an increase in supply, coupled with macroprudential measures on the part of the government designed to bring down prices, have seen the market cooling in the past few months. As a result, a sharp drop in prices is unlikely at this stage. A sharper-than-expected downturn in the global economy – which could be sparked by a credit event in Europe or a hard landingin the Chinese economy – would hit Israels economy badly. Exports have already been hit by stagnant demand in Europe and elsewhere, and a further slowdown in external demand would see the outlook for exports deteriorating even further.

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+44 (0) 203 086 8600

Select License Type

Electronic License

Electronic License

An electronic version (mostly PDF, but can be Excel or PPT), which is either available for immediate download or will be sent via email by the Publisher of the report. The licencing for an electronic version is for use by the purchaser ONLY.

£740.80

Change Currency

GBP EURO USD

Change Currency

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USD

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