Oman and Yemen Business Forecast Report Q3 2012

BMI Methodology
BMI Risk Ratings – Oman
BMI Risk Ratings – Yemen
Middle East – Ratings League Tables
Executive Summary - Oman
Core Views
Major Forecast Changes
Key Risks To Outlook
Chapter 1 1: Political Outlook – Oman
SWOT Analysis
Domestic Politics
Cracks Appearing In Political Facade
TABLE: OMAN POLITICAL OVERVIEW
Long-Term Politics
Royal Succession: Who Is Next In Line?
Chapter 1 2: Economic Outlook – Oman
SWOT Analysis
Economic Activity
Near-Term Outlook Remains Bright
TABLE: OMAN – KEY INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
TABLE: OMAN – ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
Fiscal Policy
Fiscal Dynamics To Deteriorate Beyond 2012
TABLE: OMAN – FISCAL POLICY
Banking Sector
A Regional Outperformer
Chapter 1 3: 10-Year Forecast – Oman
The Omani Economy To 2021
The Next Episode: Shifting Away From Oil
TABLE: OMAN – LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Chapter 1 4: Business Environment – Oman
SWOT Analysis
Introduction
Institutions
Legal Framework
TABLE: BMI BUSINESS AND OPERATION RISK RATINGS
Property Rights
Intellectual Property Rights
TABLE: BMI LEGAL FRAMEWORK RATING
Corruption
Infrastructure
Physical Infrastructure
TABLE: LABOUR FORCE QUALITY
Labour Force
TABLE: MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA – ANNUAL FDI INFLOWS
Foreign Investment Policy
TABLE: TRADE AND INVESTMENT RATINGS
TABLE: TOP EXPORT DESTINATIONS, 2000-2008
Operational Risk
Security Risk
Executive Summary - Yemen
Chapter 2 1: Political Outlook – Yemen
SWOT Analysis
Years Of Political Turmoil Ahead
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
Turbulent Decade: Scenarios For Change
Chapter 2 2: Economic Outlook – Yemen
SWOT Analysis
Economy Set To Stagnate
TABLE: ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
Fiscal Health At The Mercy Of Donors
TABLE: FISCAL POLICY
Chapter 2 3: 10-Year Forecast – Yemen
The Yemeni Economy To 2021
Oil And Water: Not Enough Of Either
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Chapter 2 4: Business Environment – Yemen
SWOT Analysis
Business Environment Outlook
Institutions
TABLE: BMI BUSINESS AND OPERATION RISK RATINGS
TABLE: BMI LEGAL FRAMEWORK RATING
Infrastructure
TABLE: LABOUR FORCE QUALITY
Market Orientation
TABLE: MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA – ANNUAL FDI INFLOWS
TABLE: TRADE AND INVESTMENT RATINGS
Operational Risk
TABLE: TOP EXPORT DESTINATIONS
Chapter 3:
BMI Global Assumptions
World Slows As Euro Crisis Simmers
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
OMAN AND YEMEN Q3 2012
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES REAL GDP GROWTH FORECAST
TABLE: REAL GDP GROWTH CONSENSUS FORECASTS
BMI GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS REAL GDP GROWTH FORECAST 63