Oman and Yemen Business Forecast Report Q4 2012

BMI Methodology
BMI Risk Ratings – Oman
BMI Risk Ratings – Yemen
Middle East – Ratings League Tables
Executive Summary – Oman
Core Views
Major Forecast Changes
Key Risks To Outlook

Chapter 1 1: Political Outlook – Oman
SWOT Analysis
Domestic Politics
Political Risks Still Minimal For Now
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
Long-Term Politics
Royal Succession: Who Is Next In Line?

Chapter 1 2: Economic Outlook – Oman
SWOT Analysis
Economic Activity
Sailing Through Global Headwinds
TABLE: GDP BY EXPENDITURE, CURRENT PRICES BREAKDOWN
Fiscal Policy
Comfortable Budget Surplus For Now
TABLE: FISCAL POLICY
Monetary Policy
Inflationary Pressures Muted
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY

Chapter 1 3: 10-Year Forecast – Oman
The Omani Economy To 2021
The Next Episode: Shifting Away From Oil
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS

Chapter 1 4: Business Environment – Oman
SWOT Analysis
Introduction
Institutions
Legal Framework
TABLE: BMI BUSINESS AND OPERATION RISK RATINGS
Property Rights
Intellectual Property Rights
TABLE: BMI LEGAL FRAMEWORK RATING
Corruption
Infrastructure
Physical Infrastructure
TABLE: LABOUR FORCE QUALITY
Market Orientation
Foreign Investment Policy
TABLE: MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA – ANNUAL FDI INFLOWS
Foreign Trade Regime
TABLE: TRADE AND INVESTMENT RATINGS
Tax Regime
TABLE: TOP EXPORT DESTINATIONS, 2000-2008
Executive Summary – Yemen

Chapter 2 1: Political Outlook – Yemen
SWOT Analysis
Domestic Politics
No Closer To Political Stability
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
Long-Term Political Outlook
Turbulent Decade Ahead: Scenarios For Change

Chapter 2 2: Economic Outlook – Yemen
SWOT Analysis
Economic Analysis
Economic Turnaround Not On The Cards
TABLE: GDP BY EXPENDITURE, CURRENT PRICES BREAKDOWN
Monetary Policy
Inflation To Remain In Double Digits
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY

Chapter 2 3: 10-Year Forecast – Yemen
The Yemeni Economy To 2021
Oil And Water: Not Enough Of Either
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS

Chapter 2 4: Business Environment – Yemen
GCC: Macro Backdrop Remains Robust

Chapter 3: Economic Outlook – Regional

Chapter 4: BMI Global Assumptions
A Pivotal Autumn Approaches
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES REAL GDP GROWTH FORECAST
TABLE: REAL GDP GROWTH CONSENSUS FORECASTS
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS REAL GDP GROWTH FORECAST 57