Francophone West Africa Business Forecast Report Q2 2010

BMI Ratings – Francophone West Africa...............................7
Executive Summary................................................................. 9
Gabon Leads The Way For Reform
Chapter 1.1: Country Focus - Cote d’Ivoire............ 11
Political Outlook....................................................................11
Table: Côte d’Ivoire – Political Overview.................................... 11
Chapter 1.2: Economic Outlook............................. 15
Economic Activity..................................................................15
Table: CôTE D`IVOIRE – MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS .................. 15
Chapter 1.3: 10-Year Forecast................................ 17
The Ivoirian Economy To 2019...............................................17
TABLE: CôTE D’IVOIRE – LONG-TERM MACROECONO MIC FORECASTS ........................................................17
Chapter 1.4: Business Environment....................... 21
Côte d’Ivoire Business Environment Outlook.......................21
TABLE: BMI BUSINESS AND OPERATIONA L RISK RATIN GS................. 22
Institutions ..................23
TABLE: BMI LEGAL FRAMEWORK RATIN GS.......................................... 24
Infrastructure ..............25
TABLE: MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA , ANNUAL FDI INFLOWS..................... 26
TABLE: BMI TRADE RATIN GS...................................................................27
TABLE: TOP EXPORT DESTINATIONS ...................................................... 28
Market Orientation ................................................................28
Operational Risk ....................................................................30
Chapter 2: Country Reports.................................... 31
Cameroon................................................................ 31
Political Outlook....................................................................31
TABLE: CA MEROON POLITICA L OVERVIE W.............................................31
Economic Outlook..................................................................34
TABLE: CA MEROON – MACROECONO MIC FORECASTS ........................ 34
Senegal.................................................................... 37
Economic Outlook..................................................................37
TABLE: SENEGAL – MACROECONO MIC FORECASTS .............................37
Gabon............. 39
Economic Outlook..................................................................39
TABLE: GABON – MACROECONO MIC FORECASTS ............................... 39
Equatorial Guinea.................................................... 41
Political Outlook....................................................................41
TABLE: EQUATORIA L GUINEA – MACROECONO MIC FORECASTS ........ 41
Guinea............ 42
Political Outlook....................................................................42
TABLE: GUINEA – MACROECONO MIC FORECASTS ............................... 42
Republic Of Congo................................................... 45
Economic Outlook..................................................................45
TABLE: CONGO – MACROECONO MIC FORECASTS ............................... 45
Chapter 3: Regional Outlook.................................. 46
Regional Monetary Policy......................................................46
Chapter 4: Special Report....................................... 48
Political Risk In The Next Decade.........................................48
Table: Countries Facing Secessionist Or Autonomy Movements, Insurgencies, Or Civil Wars... 58
Table: Pivotal States............... 60
Chapter 5: BMI Global Assumptions...................... 62
Global Outlook ............62
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS............................................................. 62
table: DEVELOPED STATES , Real GDP Growth Forecast............. 63
table: EMERGING MARKETS ................................................................. 64
TABLE: GLOBAL & REGIONAL REAL GDP GRO WTH............................... 65