TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2
Summary Market Level - Tobacco 2
Summary category level - Cigarettes 3
Summary category level - Cigars and cigarillos 4
Summary category level - Loose tobacco 5
Chapter 2 INTRODUCTION 6
What is this report about? 6
How to use this report 6
Market Definition 7
Chapter 3 MARKET OVERVIEW 20
Value Analysis, 2003?08 20
Value Analysis, 2008?13 21
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 23
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 23
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 24
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 25
Company and Brand Share Analysis 27
Distribution Analysis 30
Expenditure & consumption per capita 32
Chapter 4 LEADING COMPANY PROFILES 35
Philip Morris International Inc. 35
Japan Tobacco Inc. 37
Chapter 5 CATEGORY ANALYSIS - CIGARETTES 39
Value Analysis, 2003?08 39
Value Analysis, 2008?13 40
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 42
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 42
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 44
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 45
Company and Brand Share Analysis 47
Distribution Analysis 49
Expenditure & consumption per capita 51
Chapter 6 CATEGORY ANALYSIS - CIGARS AND CIGARILLOS 54
Value Analysis, 2003?08 54
Value Analysis, 2008?13 55
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 57
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 57
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 59
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 60
Company and Brand Share Analysis 62
Distribution Analysis 64
Expenditure & consumption per capita 66
Chapter 7 CATEGORY ANALYSIS - LOOSE TOBACCO 69
Value Analysis, 2003?08 69
Value Analysis, 2008?13 70
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 72
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 72
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 74
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 75
Company and Brand Share Analysis 77
Distribution Analysis 81
Expenditure & consumption per capita 83
Chapter 8 COUNTRY COMPARISON 86
Value 86
Volume 91
Market Share 96
Chapter 9 NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 97
Product launches over time 97
Recent product launches 99
Chapter 10 RUSSIA SOCIOECONOMIC PROFILE 100
Country Overview 100
Key Facts 101
Political Overview 102
Economic Overview 103
Chapter 11 RUSSIA MACROECONOMIC PROFILE 104
Macroeconomic Indicators 104
Chapter 12 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 109
Methodology overview 109
Secondary research 110
Market modeling 111
Primary research 112
Data finalization 113
Ongoing research 113
Chapter 13 APPENDIX 114
Future readings 114
How to contact experts in your industry 114
Disclaimer 114
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Russia tobacco value and value forecast, 2003?13 (RUB m, nominal prices) 22
Figure 2: Russia tobacco volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Kg/Pieces m) 26
Figure 3: Russia tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 31
Figure 4: Russia cigarettes value and value forecast, 2003?13 (RUB m, nominal prices) 41
Figure 5: Russia cigarettes category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 43
Figure 6: Russia cigarettes volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Pieces m) 46
Figure 7: Russia cigarettes category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 46
Figure 8: Russia cigarettes distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 50
Figure 9: Russia cigars and cigarillos value and value forecast, 2003?13 (RUB m, nominal prices) 56
Figure 10: Russia cigars and cigarillos category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 58
Figure 11: Russia cigars and cigarillos volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Pieces m) 61
Figure 12: Russia cigars and cigarillos category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 61
Figure 13: Russia cigars and cigarillos distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 65
Figure 14: Russia loose tobacco value and value forecast, 2003?13 (RUB m, nominal prices) 71
Figure 15: Russia loose tobacco category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 73
Figure 16: Russia loose tobacco volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Kg m) 76
Figure 17: Russia loose tobacco category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 76
Figure 18: Russia loose tobacco company share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 79
Figure 19: Russia loose tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 82
Figure 20: Global tobacco market split (value terms, 2008) – Top 5 countries 87
Figure 21: Global tobacco market value, 2003–08 (Top 5 countries) 90
Figure 22: Global tobacco market split (volume terms, 2008) – Top 5 countries 92
Figure 23: Global tobacco market volume, 2003–08 (Top 5 countries) 95
Figure 24: Map of Russia 101
Figure 25: Annual data review process 110
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Tobacco category definitions 8
Table 2: Tobacco distribution channels 9
Table 3: Russia tobacco value, 2003?08 (RUB m, nominal prices) 20
Table 4: Russia tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (RUB m, nominal prices) 21
Table 5: Russia tobacco value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 23
Table 6: Russia tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 23
Table 7: Russia tobacco volume, 2003?08 (Kg/Pieces m) 24
Table 8: Russia tobacco volume forecast, 2008?13 (Kg/Pieces m) 25
Table 9: Russia tobacco brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 27
Table 10: Russia tobacco value, by brand 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 28
Table 11: Russia tobacco company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 29
Table 12: Russia tobacco value, by company, 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 29
Table 13: Russia tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 30
Table 14: Russia tobacco value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 30
Table 15: Russia tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (RUB, nominal prices) 32
Table 16: Russia tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (RUB, nominal prices) 32
Table 17: Russia tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 33
Table 18: Russia tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 33
Table 19: Russia tobacco consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Kg/Pieces) 34
Table 20: Russia tobacco forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Kg/Pieces) 34
Table 21: Philip Morris International Inc. Key Facts 35
Table 22: Japan Tobacco Inc. Key Facts 37
Table 23: Russia cigarettes value, 2003?08 (RUB m, nominal prices) 39
Table 24: Russia cigarettes value forecast, 2008?13 (RUB m, nominal prices) 40
Table 25: Russia cigarettes value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 42
Table 26: Russia cigarettes value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 42
Table 27: Russia cigarettes volume, 2003?08 (Pieces m) 44
Table 28: Russia cigarettes volume forecast, 2008?13 (Pieces m) 45
Table 29: Russia cigarettes brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 47
Table 30: Russia cigarettes value, by brand 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 47
Table 31: Russia cigarettes company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 48
Table 32: Russia cigarettes value, by company, 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 48
Table 33: Russia cigarettes distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 49
Table 34: Russia cigarettes value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 49
Table 35: Russia cigarettes expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (RUB, nominal prices) 51
Table 36: Russia cigarettes forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (RUB, nominal prices) 51
Table 37: Russia cigarettes expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 52
Table 38: Russia cigarettes forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 52
Table 39: Russia cigarettes consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Pieces) 53
Table 40: Russia cigarettes forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Pieces) 53
Table 41: Russia cigars and cigarillos value, 2003?08 (RUB m, nominal prices) 54
Table 42: Russia cigars and cigarillos value forecast, 2008?13 (RUB m, nominal prices) 55
Table 43: Russia cigars and cigarillos value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 57
Table 44: Russia cigars and cigarillos value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 57
Table 45: Russia cigars and cigarillos volume, 2003?08 (Pieces m) 59
Table 46: Russia cigars and cigarillos volume forecast, 2008?13 (Pieces m) 60
Table 47: Russia cigars and cigarillos brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 62
Table 48: Russia cigars and cigarillos value, by brand 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 62
Table 49: Russia cigars and cigarillos company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 63
Table 50: Russia cigars and cigarillos value, by company, 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 63
Table 51: Russia cigars and cigarillos distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 64
Table 52: Russia cigars and cigarillos value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 64
Table 53: Russia cigars and cigarillos expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (RUB, nominal prices) 66
Table 54: Russia cigars and cigarillos forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (RUB, nominal prices) 66
Table 55: Russia cigars and cigarillos expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 67
Table 56: Russia cigars and cigarillos forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 67
Table 57: Russia cigars and cigarillos consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Pieces) 68
Table 58: Russia cigars and cigarillos forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Pieces) 68
Table 59: Russia loose tobacco value, 2003?08 (RUB m, nominal prices) 69
Table 60: Russia loose tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (RUB m, nominal prices) 70
Table 61: Russia loose tobacco value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 72
Table 62: Russia loose tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 72
Table 63: Russia loose tobacco volume, 2003?08 (Kg m) 74
Table 64: Russia loose tobacco volume forecast, 2008?13 (Kg m) 75
Table 65: Russia loose tobacco brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 77
Table 66: Russia loose tobacco value, by brand 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 78
Table 67: Russia loose tobacco company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 80
Table 68: Russia loose tobacco value, by company, 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 80
Table 69: Russia loose tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 81
Table 70: Russia loose tobacco value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (RUB m nominal prices) 81
Table 71: Russia loose tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (RUB, nominal prices) 83
Table 72: Russia loose tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (RUB, nominal prices) 83
Table 73: Russia loose tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 84
Table 74: Russia loose tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 84
Table 75: Russia loose tobacco consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Kg) 85
Table 76: Russia loose tobacco forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Kg) 85
Table 77: Global tobacco market value, 2008 86
Table 78: Global tobacco market split (value terms (US$ m), 2008) – Top 5 countries 89
Table 79: Global tobacco market volume, 2008 91
Table 80: Global tobacco market split (volume terms, 2008) – Top 5 countries 94
Table 81: Leading players - Top 5 countries 96
Table 82: Russia tobacco new product launches reports, by company (Top 5 companies), 2008 97
Table 83: Russia tobacco new product launches SKUs, by company (Top 5 companies), 2008 97
Table 84: Russia tobacco new product launches (reports), by flavor and fragrances (Top 10 flavors), 2008 98
Table 85: Russia tobacco new product launches (reports), by Ingredients 2008 98
Table 86: Russia tobacco new product launches (reports), by Package tags or Claims 2008 99
Table 87: Russia tobacco new product launches (reports) - Recent 5 launches (2008) 99
Table 88: Russia Key Facts 101
Table 89: Russia population, by age group, 2003?08 (millions) 104
Table 90: Russia population forecast, by age group, 2008?13 (millions) 105
Table 91: Russia population, by gender, 2003?08 (millions) 105
Table 92: Russia population forecast, by gender, 2008?13 (millions) 106
Table 93: Russia nominal GDP, 2003?08 (RUB bn, nominal prices) 106
Table 94: Russia nominal GDP forecast, 2008?13 (RUB bn, nominal prices) 106
Table 95: Russia real GDP, 2003?08 (RUB bn, 2000 prices) 107
Table 96: Russia real GDP forecast, 2008?13 (RUB bn, 2000 prices) 107
Table 97: Russia real GDP, 2003?08 (US$ bn, 2000 prices) 107
Table 98: Russia real GDP forecast, 2008?13 (US$ bn, 2000 prices) 108
Table 99: Russia consumer price index, 2003?08 (2000=100) 108
Table 100: Russia consumer price index, 2008?13 (2000=100) 108
