TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2
Summary Market Level - Tobacco 2
Summary category level - Cigarettes 3
Summary category level - Cigars and cigarillos 4
Summary category level - Loose tobacco 5
Chapter 2 INTRODUCTION 6
What is this report about? 6
How to use this report 6
Market Definition 7
Chapter 3 MARKET OVERVIEW 20
Value Analysis, 2003?08 20
Value Analysis, 2008?13 21
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 23
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 23
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 24
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 25
Company and Brand Share Analysis 27
Distribution Analysis 29
Expenditure & consumption per capita 31
Chapter 4 LEADING COMPANY PROFILES 34
Philip Morris International Inc. 34
UST Inc. 36
Chapter 5 CATEGORY ANALYSIS - CIGARETTES 38
Value Analysis, 2003?08 38
Value Analysis, 2008?13 39
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 41
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 41
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 43
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 44
Company and Brand Share Analysis 47
Distribution Analysis 49
Expenditure & consumption per capita 51
Chapter 6 CATEGORY ANALYSIS - CIGARS AND CIGARILLOS 54
Value Analysis, 2003?08 54
Value Analysis, 2008?13 55
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 57
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 57
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 59
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 60
Company and Brand Share Analysis 63
Distribution Analysis 66
Expenditure & consumption per capita 68
Chapter 7 CATEGORY ANALYSIS - LOOSE TOBACCO 71
Value Analysis, 2003?08 71
Value Analysis, 2008?13 72
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 74
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 74
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 76
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 77
Company and Brand Share Analysis 80
Distribution Analysis 83
Expenditure & consumption per capita 85
Chapter 8 COUNTRY COMPARISON 88
Value 88
Volume 93
Market Share 98
Chapter 9 UNITED ARAB EMIRATES SOCIOECONOMIC PROFILE 99
Country Overview 99
Key Facts 100
Political Overview 101
Economic Overview 102
Chapter 10 UNITED ARAB EMIRATES MACROECONOMIC PROFILE 103
Macroeconomic Indicators 103
Chapter 11 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 108
Methodology overview 108
Secondary research 109
Market modeling 110
Primary research 111
Data finalization 112
Ongoing research 112
Chapter 12 APPENDIX 113
Future readings 113
How to contact experts in your industry 113
Disclaimer 113
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: United Arab Emirates tobacco value and value forecast, 2003?13 (AED m, nominal prices) 22
Figure 2: United Arab Emirates tobacco volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Kg/Pieces m) 26
Figure 3: United Arab Emirates tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 30
Figure 4: United Arab Emirates cigarettes value and value forecast, 2003?13 (AED m, nominal prices) 40
Figure 5: United Arab Emirates cigarettes category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 42
Figure 6: United Arab Emirates cigarettes volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Pieces m) 45
Figure 7: United Arab Emirates cigarettes category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 46
Figure 8: United Arab Emirates cigarettes distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 50
Figure 9: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos value and value forecast, 2003?13 (AED m, nominal prices) 56
Figure 10: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 58
Figure 11: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Pieces m) 61
Figure 12: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 62
Figure 13: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos company share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 64
Figure 14: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 67
Figure 15: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco value and value forecast, 2003?13 (AED m, nominal prices) 73
Figure 16: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 75
Figure 17: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Kg m) 78
Figure 18: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 79
Figure 19: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco company share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 81
Figure 20: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 84
Figure 21: Global tobacco market split (value terms, 2008) – Top 5 countries 89
Figure 22: Global tobacco market value, 2003–08 (Top 5 countries) 92
Figure 23: Global tobacco market split (volume terms, 2008) – Top 5 countries 94
Figure 24: Global tobacco market volume, 2003–08 (Top 5 countries) 97
Figure 25: Map of United Arab Emirates 100
Figure 26: Annual data review process 109
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Tobacco category definitions 8
Table 2: Tobacco distribution channels 9
Table 3: United Arab Emirates tobacco value, 2003?08 (AED m, nominal prices) 20
Table 4: United Arab Emirates tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (AED m, nominal prices) 21
Table 5: United Arab Emirates tobacco value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 23
Table 6: United Arab Emirates tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 23
Table 7: United Arab Emirates tobacco volume, 2003?08 (Kg/Pieces m) 24
Table 8: United Arab Emirates tobacco volume forecast, 2008?13 (Kg/Pieces m) 25
Table 9: United Arab Emirates tobacco brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 27
Table 10: United Arab Emirates tobacco value, by brand 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 27
Table 11: United Arab Emirates tobacco company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 28
Table 12: United Arab Emirates tobacco value, by company, 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 28
Table 13: United Arab Emirates tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 29
Table 14: United Arab Emirates tobacco value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 29
Table 15: United Arab Emirates tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (AED, nominal prices) 31
Table 16: United Arab Emirates tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (AED, nominal prices) 31
Table 17: United Arab Emirates tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 32
Table 18: United Arab Emirates tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 32
Table 19: United Arab Emirates tobacco consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Kg/Pieces) 33
Table 20: United Arab Emirates tobacco forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Kg/Pieces) 33
Table 21: Philip Morris International Inc. Key Facts 34
Table 22: UST Inc. Key Facts 36
Table 23: United Arab Emirates cigarettes value, 2003?08 (AED m, nominal prices) 38
Table 24: United Arab Emirates cigarettes value forecast, 2008?13 (AED m, nominal prices) 39
Table 25: United Arab Emirates cigarettes value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 41
Table 26: United Arab Emirates cigarettes value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 41
Table 27: United Arab Emirates cigarettes volume, 2003?08 (Pieces m) 43
Table 28: United Arab Emirates cigarettes volume forecast, 2008?13 (Pieces m) 44
Table 29: United Arab Emirates cigarettes brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 47
Table 30: United Arab Emirates cigarettes value, by brand 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 47
Table 31: United Arab Emirates cigarettes company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 48
Table 32: United Arab Emirates cigarettes value, by company, 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 48
Table 33: United Arab Emirates cigarettes distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 49
Table 34: United Arab Emirates cigarettes value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 49
Table 35: United Arab Emirates cigarettes expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (AED, nominal prices) 51
Table 36: United Arab Emirates cigarettes forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (AED, nominal prices) 51
Table 37: United Arab Emirates cigarettes expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 52
Table 38: United Arab Emirates cigarettes forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 52
Table 39: United Arab Emirates cigarettes consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Pieces) 53
Table 40: United Arab Emirates cigarettes forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Pieces) 53
Table 41: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos value, 2003?08 (AED m, nominal prices) 54
Table 42: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos value forecast, 2008?13 (AED m, nominal prices) 55
Table 43: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 57
Table 44: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 57
Table 45: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos volume, 2003?08 (Pieces m) 59
Table 46: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos volume forecast, 2008?13 (Pieces m) 60
Table 47: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 63
Table 48: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos value, by brand 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 63
Table 49: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 65
Table 50: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos value, by company, 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 65
Table 51: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 66
Table 52: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 66
Table 53: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (AED, nominal prices) 68
Table 54: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (AED, nominal prices) 68
Table 55: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 69
Table 56: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 69
Table 57: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Pieces) 70
Table 58: United Arab Emirates cigars and cigarillos forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Pieces) 70
Table 59: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco value, 2003?08 (AED m, nominal prices) 71
Table 60: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (AED m, nominal prices) 72
Table 61: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 74
Table 62: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 74
Table 63: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco volume, 2003?08 (Kg m) 76
Table 64: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco volume forecast, 2008?13 (Kg m) 77
Table 65: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 80
Table 66: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco value, by brand 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 80
Table 67: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 82
Table 68: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco value, by company, 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 82
Table 69: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 83
Table 70: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (AED m nominal prices) 83
Table 71: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (AED, nominal prices) 85
Table 72: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (AED, nominal prices) 85
Table 73: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 86
Table 74: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 86
Table 75: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Kg) 87
Table 76: United Arab Emirates loose tobacco forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Kg) 87
Table 77: Global tobacco market value, 2008 88
Table 78: Global tobacco market split (value terms (US$ m), 2008) – Top 5 countries 91
Table 79: Global tobacco market volume, 2008 93
Table 80: Global tobacco market split (volume terms, 2008) – Top 5 countries 96
Table 81: Leading players - Top 5 countries 98
Table 82: United Arab Emirates Key Facts 100
Table 83: United Arab Emirates population, by age group, 2003?08 (millions) 103
Table 84: United Arab Emirates population forecast, by age group, 2008?13 (millions) 104
Table 85: United Arab Emirates population, by gender, 2003?08 (millions) 104
Table 86: United Arab Emirates population forecast, by gender, 2008?13 (millions) 105
Table 87: United Arab Emirates nominal GDP, 2003?08 (AED bn, nominal prices) 105
Table 88: United Arab Emirates nominal GDP forecast, 2008?13 (AED bn, nominal prices) 105
Table 89: United Arab Emirates real GDP, 2003?08 (AED bn, 2000 prices) 106
Table 90: United Arab Emirates real GDP forecast, 2008?13 (AED bn, 2000 prices) 106
Table 91: United Arab Emirates real GDP, 2003?08 (US$ bn, 2000 prices) 106
Table 92: United Arab Emirates real GDP forecast, 2008?13 (US$ bn, 2000 prices) 107
Table 93: United Arab Emirates consumer price index, 2003?08 (2000=100) 107
Table 94: United Arab Emirates consumer price index, 2008?13 (2000=100) 107