Canada Defence and Security Report Q1 2010

Executive Summary ................5
SWOT Analysis........................6
Canada Security SWOT ................................6
Canada Defence Industry SWOT ..................7
Canada Political SWOT................................8
Canada Economic SWOT .............................8
Global Political Outlook........................................9
Table: Countries Facing Major Leadership Succession In 2010-2019 ....................11
Table: Countries At Risk Of Major Political Upheaval ............14
Table: Countries At Risk Of Interstate Conflict Or Heightened Bilateral Tensions ...............................18
Table: Countries Facing Secessionist Or Autonomy Movements, Insurgencies, Or Civil Wars.............21
Table: Pivotal States...................................24
Political Overview..................26
Domestic Politics........................................26
Canada’s Security Risk Analysis........................28
City Terrorism Rating.................................29
Table: Americas City Terrorism Index..............................30
Security Risk Analysis........................................31
Internal Security Situation ..........................31
External Security Situation .........................34
Armed Forces and Government Spending......................................37
Armed Forces ...............37
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2008 (including conscripted, ‘000 personnel) .......37
International Deployments..........................39
Table: Foreign Deployments ......................40
Weapons Of Mass Destruction....................41
Market Overview....................42
Arms Trade Overview.................................42
Industry Trends And Developments ............43
Procurement Trends And Developments...................................45
Industry Forecast Scenario .................................47
Armed Forces ...............47
Table: Canadian Armed Forces, 2007-2014 ('000 personnel) .................................47
Government Expenditure on Defence Industry .........................49
Table: Canadian Government Defence Expenditure, 2007-2014.............................49
Macroeconomic Outlook.............................51
Table: Canada – GDP by expenditure, 2007-2014...................53
Company Profiles..................54
CAE ..............................54
Lockheed Martin.........................................55
L-3 Communications...................................56
Raytheon Canada Limited...........................57
Country Snapshot: Canada Demographic Data..............................58
Section 1: Population..................................58
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030.............................58
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 ............................59
Section 2: Education And Healthcare.........59
Table: Education, 2000-2003 .....................59
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030...............59
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power .......................60
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006...............................60
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) .....................61
Table: Average Annual Manufactuing Wages, 2000-2012........61
Methodology ..................62
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ...............................62
Defence Industry.........................................62
City Terrorism Rating.................................63
Table: Methodology....................................65
Sources ..............................66