Egypt Defence and Security Report Q2 2009

Executive Summary ...............................5
Egypt Security SWOT............. 6
Egypt Defence Industry SWOT.................................. 7
Egypt Political SWOT............ 7
Egypt Economic SWOT.......... 8
Egypt Business Environment SWOT ......................... 8
Political Overview...................................9
Domestic Politics................... 9
Foreign Policy ..................... 11
Security Risk Analysis.........................15
BMI’s Security Ratings ............. 15
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings ................... 15
Table: Middle East And North Africa State Terrorism Vulnerability Index ................................... 16
Regional Security: The Middle East And North Africa ................................... 16
Egypt – Security Risk Ratings ...................................... 18
Conflict Risk ........................ 18
Terrorism Risk ..................... 19
Physical Safety Risk............. 19
Security Overview ................................21
Armed Forces And Government Spending ...........................23
Armed Forces ...................... 23
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (including conscripted, ‘000) .......... 23
International Deployments...................................... 24
Table: Egypt’s Foreign Deployments ..................... 25
Weapons Of Mass Destruction................................ 25
Market Overview...................................27
Arms Trade Overview.......... 28
Industry Trends And Developments ........................ 29
Procurement Trends And Developments................. 30
Industry Forecast Scenario ..................32
Table: Egypt’s Armed Forces, 2005-2013 (‘000).... 32
Table: Egypt’s Defence Expenditure, 2005-2013.... 33
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario ................... 34
Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario ........................ 35
Table: Egypt - Economic Activity, 2005-2013......... 38
Company Profiles.................................39
Multinational Companies.......... 39
General Dynamics ............... 39
General Electric (GE).......... 40
Raytheon (Egypt) ................. 41
Domestic Company................... 42
Ashmand International ........ 42
Country Snapshot: Egypt Demographic Data.......................43
Section 1: Population........... 43
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030........... 43
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 .......... 44
Section 2: Education And Healthcare..................... 44
Table: Education, 2002-2005 ................................. 44
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2010........................... 44
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power ..... 45
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006............. 45
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) ...................................... 45
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012............. 46
BMI Forecast Modelling.......................47
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ............. 47
Defence Industry.................. 47
Sources ..................................... 48