The price of this market report covers 4 quarterly reports on this sector. This quarterly report will be downloadable instantly as a PDF document, with the 3 remaining reports delivered at regular intervals throughout the year.
Defence spending is being severely impacted by the scale of Italys economic crisis and the resultant austerity measures. In August 2011, the Italian government announced plans for EUR20bn in cuts for 2012 and a further EUR25bn in 2013. In Defence terms, in 2011 the defence budget saw further reductions and was set at EUR25bn, with further cuts expected in the coming years. In addition to the monetary impact on the defence industry, the austerity package is also a threat to internal security. On September 7, three million people went on strike and serious civil unrest is a deep concern for the country. Despite the serious economic situation, the Italian armed forces continues to induct a number of new platforms into its military. New aircraft, both fixed wing and helicopters, are furnishing the air force, while the navy is obtaining new frigates. The army is also benefiting from significant modernisation in the form of new armoured vehicles and air defence systems. While the countrys financial situation is posing a major challenge to these acquisitions, it is difficult to see how they could be postponed, or cancelled altogether, without Italys armed forces experiencing a major shortfall in capability.
The major foreign development in the quarter was the fall of Colonel Muammar Qadhafi with the National Transitional Council (NTC) taking over the country. NATO states, led by France and the United Kingdom, had been bombing Libya since March 19 2011, effectively serving as the air force of the Libyan rebels. The Italian government also committed to providing significant amounts of aid and funding to the Libyan rebel government, according to reports from Reuters. Rome decided to provide up to EUR400mn (US$586mn) in cash and fuel aid to the rebels, which is backed by frozen Libyan state assets in Europe. Meanwhile, with the fall of Qadhafi, Italian companies are flooding back to the country.
Petroleum firm Eni has signed a memorandum of understanding with Libyas NTC, according to Scandinavian Oil-Gas Magazine. The accord with Eni paves the way for the company to rapidly recover its operations in the country. At the start of the conflict Eni decided to end production at major Libyan oil fields. The field provides between 13% and 14% of Italian consumption.
In industry terms, in September 2011, Italian propulsion firm Avio announced that it will stage an IPO on the Milan Stock Exchange by the end of 2012. Unconfirmed reports suggest that Frances Safran is considering a bid for the firm. Avio generated revenues of EUR1.75bn in 2010 and is majority owned by private equity group Cinven, with Finmeccanica owning a 14% stake. Avio specialises in manufacturing aircraft engines as well as a range of space and defence programmes. Meanwhile, Finmeccanica is planning to cut as many as 1,200 jobs at its Alenia Aeronautica subsidiary business, with the parent looking to reduce operating costs significantly.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Italy Security SWOT
Italy Political SWOT
Italy Economic SWOT
Global Political Outlook
Global Hotspots: Eurozone, MENA, Afghanistan And Korea
Table: Election Timetable, 2012
United States
Latin America
Western Europe
Central, Eastern And South Eastern Europe
Russia And The Former Soviet Union
Middle East And North Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa
Asia
Wild Cards To Watch
Europe Security Overview
Europe In A Global Context
Europes Key Security Issues Over The Coming Decade
Security Risk Analysis
BMIs Security Ratings
Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings
Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
City Terrorism Rating
Table: BMIs Western Europe City Terrorism Index
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Italy Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
Organised Crime
Latest Developments
Timeline: Internal Threats
Table: Insurgent Groups
External Security Situation
International Terrorism
Latest Developments
Timeline: External Threats
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Armed Forces
Defence Posture
Defence Reform
International Deployments
Table: Italys Foreign Deployments
Coordination And Joint Operations
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
Arms Trade
Defence And Procurement
Table: Italys Key Defence Players
Industry Background
Procurement Background
Industry Forecast Scenario
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces Personnel, 2002-2009 (000, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service, 2011-2016 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
Government Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure, 2009-2016
Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario – Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2016 (US$mn)
Defence Trade
Table: Italys Defence Imports, 2008-2016 (US$mn)
Table: Italys Defence Exports, 2008-2016 (US$mn)
Table: Italys Defence Trade Balance, 2008-2016 (US$mn)
Key Risks To BMIs Forecast Scenario
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Italy – GDP By Expenditure, Current Prices Breakdown, 2008-2016 (EURbn, unless otherwise stated)
Company Profiles
AgustaWestland
Avio
Fincantieri
Finmeccanica
MBDA
Country Snapshot: Italy Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
City Terrorism Rating
Table: Methodology
Sources 116