1. Executive Summary
1.1 A Growing Market for UAVs
1.2 New Technologies Can Enhance UAV Capabilities and Further Expand Market
1.3 Key Drivers and Restraints
1.4 Highlights of the Report
2. UAVs Continue to Grow in Importance
2.1 Origins of UAVs
2.2 UAVs in 21st Century Conflicts
2.3 Wider Battlefield Roles for UAVs
2.4 UAVs Becoming Essential to Military Operations
2.5 Components of a UAV System
2.5.1 Air Segment
2.5.2 Ground Segment
2.6 Mission Types and Design Characteristics
2.6.1 Small UAVs
2.6.2 Tactical UAVs
2.6.3 Endurance UAVs
2.6.4 Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles (UCAVs)
2.6.5 Civil UAVs
2.7 UAV Missions
2.8 US Mission Planning Assumptions
2.8.1 Non-Aggressive Missions
2.8.2 Aggressive Missions
2.9 New Technologies, New Missions
3. Overview of the Global UAV Market
3.1 Robust Growth in UAV Market in Next Decade
3.2 Endurance UAVs Lead Submarkets
3.3 US Dominates UAV Procurement and Development
4. Leading National UAV Markets
4.1 The US UAV Market
4.1.1 Forecast for the US UAV Market
4.1.2 Significant US UAV Programmes
4.2 The UK UAV Market
4.2.1 Forecast for the UK UAV Market
4.2.2 Significant UK UAV Programmes
4.3 The French UAV Market
4.3.1 Forecast for the French UAV Market
4.3.2 Significant French UAV Programmes
4.4 The German UAV Market
4.4.1 Forecast for the German UAV Market
4.4.2 Significant German UAV Programmes
4.5 The Indian UAV Market
4.5.1 Forecast for the Indian UAV Market
4.5.2 Significant Indian UAV Programmes
4.6 The Italian UAV Market
4.6.1 Forecast for the Italian UAV Market
4.6.2 Significant Italian UAV Programmes
4.7 The Australian UAV Market
4.7.1 Forecast for the Australian UAV Market
4.7.2 Significant Australian UAV Programmes
4.8 The Canadian UAV Market
4.8.1 Forecast for the Canadian UAV Market
4.8.2 Significant Canadian UAV Programmes
4.9 The Japanese UAV Market
4.9.1 Forecast for the Japanese UAV Market
4.9.2 Significant Japanese UAV Programmes
4.10 The Israeli UAV Market
4.10.1 Forecast for the Israeli UAV Market
4.10.2 Significant Israeli UAV Programmes
4.11 The South Korean UAV Market
4.11.1 Forecast for the South Korean UAV Market
4.11.2 Significant South Korean UAV Programmes
4.12 The Chinese UAV Market
4.12.1 Forecast for the Chinese UAV Market
4.12.2 Significant Chinese UAV Programmes
4.13 The Turkish UAV Market
4.13.1 Forecast for the Turkish UAV Market
4.13.2 Significant Turkish UAV Programmes
4.14 The Russian UAV Market
4.14.1 Forecast for the Russian UAV Market
4.14.2 Significant Russian UAV Programmes
4.15 The Brazilian UAV Market
4.15.1 Forecast for the Brazilian UAV Market
4.15.2 Significant Brazilian UAV Programmes
5. Challenges to UAV Development and Use
5.1 Costs
5.2 Survivability
5.3 Bandwidth Issues
5.4 The Challenge of Urban Warfare
5.5 Operational Issues
5.6 Interoperability
5.7 Logistical Issues
5.8 New Engine Types for Endurance, Tactical UAVs
5.9 Energy Requirements for Mini UAVs
5.10 Optionally-Piloted Vehicles Could Bridge Gap Between Manned and Unmanned Aircraft
5.11 Integration Into Controlled Airspace
5.12 Air Regulations Affect Both Military and Civil UAVs
5.13 Civil UAVs Raise Air Safety Concerns
5.14 UAV Technology at a Watershed
5.15 Aerospace and Defence Industrial Issues
5.15.1 Substitutability: Unmanned vs. Manned Aircraft
5.15.2 Direct Substitution Unlikely
5.16 New Opportunities in a Competitive Market
6. SWOT Analysis of the UAV Market
6.1 Strengths of the UAV Market
6.1.1 Keen Interest Among Military Forces
6.1.2 UAVs Taking On Leading Battlefield Roles
6.1.3 Persistent Surveillance is a Key Capability UAVs Can Provide
6.1.4 There is a Vibrant UAV Industry
6.2 Weaknesses of the UAV Market
6.2.1 Costs Related to Developing and Using UAVs May be Underestimated
6.2.2 UAV Systems must also Cope with Evolving Military Requirements
6.2.3 Many Militaries are Still Learning How to Fully Utilise UAVs
6.2.4 Delays in Opening Access to Airspace Could Dampen Demand
6.3 Opportunities in the UAV Market
6.3.1 Spending in UAVs Unlikely to Face Cuts
6.3.2 Many Militaries are Moving to Incorporate UAVs in their Combat Doctrines
6.3.3 Maritime Surveillance Could Prove to be a Lucrative Market
6.3.4 There is a Potentially Vast Market for Civil UAVs
6.4 Threats to the UAV Market
6.4.1 Resistance from Proponents of Traditional Manned Aircraft
6.4.2 Many Countries May Hold Off UAV Purchases Until Technologies Mature
6.4.3 Subsystems for Complex Unmanned Aircraft such as UCAVs are Still Maturing
6.4.4 Costs May Deter Some Countries from Buying UAVs
7. Expert Opinion
7.1 Aeronautics Ltd - Itay Sherman, Director of Marketing Communications
7.1.1 Global Budgets for UAVs Growing
7.1.2 Endurance, Mini UAV Submarkets to Show Strong Growth
7.1.3 Factors That will Drive UAV Market Growth
7.1.4 Factors That will Could Dampen UAV Market Growth
7.1.5 Attributes of Aeronautics' UAV Products
7.1.6 Future UAV Industry Mergers Expected
7.1.7 UAV Technologies to Improve
7.2 AeroVironment - Steven Gitlin, Vice President for Marketing, Strategy and Communications
7.2.1 Market Still in Early Stage of Adoption
7.2.2 Drivers to Growth of UAV Market
7.2.3 Restraints to Growth of UAV Market
7.2.4 Consolidation in UAV Market
7.2.5 Lethal UAVs
7.2.6 Smaller Guided Weapons for UAVs
7.2.7 AeroVironment's Advanced Projects
7.2.8 AeroVironment as a Key Supplier of Hand-Launched UAVs
7.2.9 UAVs Provide Information Previously Unavailable
7.2.10 UAVs Throughout the Force Structure
7.2.11 Innovations in Hand-Launched UAVs
7.2.12 Role of Global Observer
7.2.13 Operation of Stratospheric UAVs
7.2.14 No Commercial UAV Opportunities Yet
7.2.15 FAA COAs for Civil UAVs
7.2.16 Regulations for Civil UAVs
7.3 European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation (Eurocontrol) - Mike Lissone, Unmanned Aircraft Systems Air Traffic Management (UAS ATM) Integration Manager
7.3.1 Role of Eurocontrol and ICAO UAS SG in Integrating UAVs into Civilian Airspace
7.3.2 Challenges to Integrating UAVs in Civilian Airspace
7.3.3 The Process of Integrating UAVs into the Airspace
7.3.4 Operation of HALE UAVs over Europe
7.3.5 European Armed Service Interest in UAVs
7.3.6 Technology and Regulations Key to Developing Civil UAV Market
7.3.7 Pace of Development of UAS Technology such as Sense-and-Avoid
7.3.8 Moving Toward Air Traffic Management of all UAVs
7.4 Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) (US) - Alison Duquette, Spokesperson
7.4.1 Key Challenges to Integrating UAVs
7.4.2 Certificates of Authorisation (COAs) Meet Demand of Users
7.4.3 Considerations in Opening the National Airspace for Homeland Security UAVs
7.4.4 High Interest in Military for Using UAVs in US Airspace
7.4.5 Time-Frame for Integrating UAVs into Non-Segregated Airspace
7.4.6 Key Factors for Regulating UAVs
7.4.7 Pace of Development of Sense-and-Avoid Technologies
7.4.8 Cooperation with Other Aviation Regulatory Bodies
7.5 General Atomics Aeronautical Systems Inc (GA-ASI) - Chris Ames, Director of Strategic Development
7.5.1 UAVs Have Seen Exponential Growth
7.5.2 Advantages of UAVs
7.5.3 Continued Growth in Military and Civil UAV Markets
7.5.4 GA-ASI Has Kept Up with Demand
7.5.5 Praise for US Army UAV Roadmap
7.5.6 Sky Warrior as Predator A Replacement
7.5.7 Future Capabilities of Predator B Reaper
7.5.8 Predator C Avenger Unlike Any Prior GA-ASI Aircraft
7.5.9 Technologies that are Key to UAV Development
7.5.10 Factors that Drive Growth of UAV Market
7.5.11 Factors that Could Restrain Growth of UAV Market
7.5.12 UAVs and Shrinking Budgets
7.5.13 Regulations Governing Use of Civil UAVs
7.5.14 UAVs and Sense-and-Avoid
7.6 Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI)-MALAT - Israel Shemer, Assistant General Manager and Avi Bleser, Marketing Director
7.6.1 Market Growth Worldwide
7.6.2 Drivers of Market Growth
7.6.3 UAV Advantages for ISR
7.6.4 Technologies Critical to UAV Development
7.6.5 Non-Military Applications
7.6.6 Heron Deal with Brazil
7.6.7 Regulations Governing UAV Use in Civilian Airspace
7.6.8 Expectations for Civil Market
7.6.9 Restraints to Growth
7.6.10 Maritime Patrol UAVs
7.6.11 Multimission Maritime UAVs
7.6.12 Market for Heron UAVs
7.6.13 Tactical UAVs Remain Competitive
7.6.14 Mosquto Micro UAV to be Marketed Soon
7.6.15 Smaller Weapons for UAVs
7.7 Schiebel Corporation - Public Relations Team
7.7.1 Drivers for Growth of UAV Market
7.7.2 Restraints for Growth of UAV Market
7.7.3 Key Technological Advances for Future UAVs
7.7.4 Advantages of VTOL UAV like Camcopter
7.7.5 Potential Share of VTOL UAVs in Market
7.7.6 VTOL UAVs for Maritime Missions
7.7.7 Camcopter UAV Compared to Bigger Unmanned Helicopters
7.7.8 Civilian Applications of VTOL UAVs
7.8 Thales UK - Nick Miller, Business Director of ISTAR and UAV Systems
7.8.1 UAVs Have Proven their Worth
7.8.2 Capable UAVs, Airspace Access Important to Growth
7.8.3 Lack of Airspace Access Could Restrain Growth
7.8.4 Latest Developments in Watchkeeper
7.8.5 Persistent Surveillance by UAVs Vital
7.8.6 No Current Plans to Arm Watchkeeper UAV
7.8.7 Watchkeeper Could be Used in Civilian Roles
7.8.8 Tactical UAVs are Key Part of Layered Approach
7.8.9 Thales's Other UAV Programmes
7.8.10 Technological Advances that are Crucial to UAVs
8. Key Companies Involved in the UAV Market
8.1 AAI Corporation
8.2 Aeronautics Ltd
8.3 AeroVironment
8.4 Alenia Aeronautica
8.5 Aurora Flight Sciences
8.6 BAE Systems
8.7 Bell Helicopter
8.8 Boeing Defense, Space & Security
8.9 Dassault Aviation
8.10 EADS DS
8.11 Elbit Systems
8.12 EMT
8.13 General Atomics Aeronautics Systems Inc (GA-ASI)
8.14 Honeywell Engineering
8.15 Insitu
8.16 Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI)-MALAT
8.17 Lockheed Martin Corporation
8.18 Northrop Grumman Aerospace Systems
8.19 Proxy Aviation Systems
8.20 Rheinmetall Defence Systems
8.21 Ruag Aerospace
8.22 Saab Aerosystems
8.23 Sagem Défense Sécurité
8.24 Schiebel Corporation
8.25 Thales UK
9. Conclusions
9.1 Key Drivers and Restraints
9.2 UAV Market to Continue Expansion
9.3 US Dominates UAV Procurement and Development
10. Glossary
List of Tables and Figures
Table 3.1 World UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 3.2 World UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 3.3 World UAV Sales Forecast by Submarket, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 3.4 World UAV Sales CAGR by Submarket (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 3.5 Leading National UAV Markets, 2009, 2015, 2020 ($m)
Table 4.1 Leading National UAV Markets Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.2 US UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.3 US UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.4 UK UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.5 UK UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.6 French UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.7 French UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.8 German UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.9 German UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.10 Indian UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.11 Indian UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.12 Italian UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.13 Italian UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.14 Australian UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.15 Australian UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.16 Canadian UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.17 Canadian UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.18 Japanese UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.19 Japanese UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.20 Israeli UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.21 Israeli UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.22 South Korean UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.23 South Korean UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.24 Chinese UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.25 Chinese UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.26 Turkish UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.27 Turkish UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.28 Russian UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.29 Russian UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.30 Brazilian UAV Sales and Growth Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m, %AGR)
Table 4.31 Brazilian UAV Sales CAGR (%), 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 6.1 SWOT Analysis of the UAV Market, 2010-2020
Figure 3.1 World UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 3.2 World UAV Sales Forecast by Submarket, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 3.3 World UAV Submarkets Share, 2009 (%)
Figure 3.4 World UAV Submarkets Share, 2015 (%)
Figure 3.5 World UAV Submarkets Share, 2020 (%)
Figure 3.6 UAV Market Share by Leading Countries, 2009 (%)
Figure 3.7 UAV Market Share by Leading Countries, 2015 (%)
Figure 3.8 UAV Market Share by Leading Countries, 2020 (%)
Figure 4.1 US UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.2 UK UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.3 French UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.4 German UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.5 Indian UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.6 Italian UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.7 Australian UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.8 Canadian UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.9 Japanese UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.10 Israeli UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.11 South Korean UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.12 Chinese UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.13 Turkish UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.14 Russian UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Figure 4.15 Brazilian UAV Sales Forecast, 2010-2020 ($m)
Companies Mentioned in this Report
AAI Corporation
Advanced Ceramics Research (ACR)
Aeroeletrônica
Aeronautics Ltd
Aerosonde
AeroVironment (AV)
Airbus
Alenia
Alenia Aeronautica
Aurora Flight Sciences
Aurora Tactical Systems Group
Avibras
BAE Systems
Baykar Technologies
Bell Helicopter
Boeing
Boeing Defense, Space & Security
Boeing Australia
Chengdu Aircraft Corporation
China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation (CATIC)
Cobham
CybAero
Dassault Aviation
Denel Dynamics
EAB
Elbit Systems
European Aeronautic Defence and Space Company (EADS)
EADS Construcciones Aeronauticas SA (CASA)
EADS Defence and Security Systems Ltd (EADS DS)
EMT
EuroHawk GmbH
Finmeccanica Group
Fuji Heavy Industries
Galileo Avionica
General Atomics Aeronautical Systems Inc (GA-ASI)
General Dynamics
Geneva Aerospace
Guizhou Aviation Industry Group
Honeywell Engineering
Insitu
Irkut
Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI)
IAI MALAT
Kaman Aerospace
Kawanda
Korean Air
Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI)
L-3 Communications
Lockheed Martin Corporation
MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates (MDA)
Mikoyan
Mil Design Bureau
Mitsubishi
Northrop Grumman Aerospace Systems
Northrop Grumman Corporation
Oerlikon Contraves Canada
Pratt&Whitney
Protonex
Proxy Aviation Systems Inc
QinetiQ
Raytheon
Rheinmetall Defence Systems
Rheinmetall Group
Rolls-Royce
Rotax
Ruag Aerospace
Ruag Ammotec
Ruag Electronics
Ruag Land Systems
Saab
Saab Aerosystems
Safran Group
Sagem Avionics
Sagem Défense Sécurité
Sagem Optronics and Defence
Schiebel Corporation
Schweizer Aircraft
Selex Galileo
Shenyang Aircraft Design
Sikorsky
Smiths Aerospace
Snecma
Sukhoi
Survey Copter
Swift Engineering
Synergy Group (Brazil)
Textron
Thales Canada
Thales Group
Thales UK
The Tula Design Bureau
Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI)
United Industrial Corporation (UIC)
UAS Dynamics LLC
Unmanned Tactical Systems Ltd (UTACS)
West Wales UAV Services
Yamaha
Government Agencies and Other Organisations Mentioned in this Report
32 Regiment Royal Artillery (British Army)
32nd Wing (Italian Air Force)
Aeronautical Development Establishment (ADE) (India)
Australian Army
Australian Defence Force (ADF)
Brazilian Air Force
Brazilian Federal Police
British Army
British Army Royal Artillery
Bundeswehr (German Army)
Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) (UK)
Customs and Border Protection (CBP (US)
Danish Army
Defence Materiel Organisation (UK)
Defence Acquisition Programme Administration (DAPA) (South Korea)
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) (US)
Direction générale pour l'armement (DGA, or Defence Procurement Agency)(France)
Department of Defense (DOD) (US)
Department of Emergencies (Russia)
Department of Energy (US)
Department of Homeland Security (DHS) (US)
Department of National Defense (DND) (Canada)
Department of Transportation (US)
European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation (Eurocontrol)
Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) (US)
French Air Force
French Army
French Navy
German Armed Forces
German Ministry of Defence
German Navy
Indian Army
International Civil Aviation Authority (ICAO)
ICAO Unmanned Aircraft Systems Study Group (ICAO UAS SG)
Israeli Air Force
Israel Defence Forces (IDF)
Italian Air Force
Japanese Coast Guard
Japanese Defence Agency
Japanese Ground Self-Defence Force (JGSDF)
Japanese Maritime Self-Defence Force (JMSDF)
Ministry of Defence (India)
Ministry of Defence (Russia)
Ministry of Defence (MOD) (UK)
Ministry of National Defence (South Korea)
National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO)
Office of Air and Marine (OAM) (US DHS)
People's Liberation Army (PLA) (China)
Polish Army
Proxy Aviation Systems
Republic of Korea Army (ROKA)
Republic of Korea Navy (ROKN)
Royal Air Force (RAF)
Royal Air Force (RAF) Air Warfare Centre
Royal Netherlands Army
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)
United Arab Emirates (UAE) Air Force
United Nations (UN)
US Air Force
US Air Force Special Operations Command (AFSOC)
US Army
US Army Aviation and Missile Command
US Army UAS Center of Excellence
US Coast Guard
US Marine Corps
US Army Aviation and Missile Research Development and Engineering Center (AMRDEC)
US Navy
US Special Operations Command (SOCOM)
