United States Defence and Security Report Q1 2010

Executive Summary ................5
SWOT Analysis........................6
US Security SWOT........................................6
US Defence Industry SWOT..........................7
US Political SWOT .......................................8
US Economic SWOT.....................................9
US Business Environment SWOT..................9
Global Political Outlook......................................10
Table: Countries Facing Major Leadership Succession In 2010-2019 ....................12
Table: Countries At Risk Of Major Political Upheaval ............15
Table: Countries At Risk Of Interstate Conflict Or Heightened Bilateral Tensions ...............................19
Table: Countries Facing Secessionist Or Autonomy Movements, Insurgencies, Or Civil Wars.............22
Table: Pivotal States...................................25
Political Overview..................27
Long-Term Outlook ....................................27
Foreign Policy ..............30
Security Risk Analysis........................................34
City Terrorism Rating.................................36
Table: Americas City Terrorism Index..............................37
Domestic Security Overview..............................38
External Security Situation .........................41
Table: Regional Insurgent Groups – US-Designated Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs) ............41
Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) ..........43
Armed Forces And Government Spending .....................................47
Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2008 (including conscripted, ‘000) .......................47
International Deployments..........................51
Table: Foreign Deployments ......................51
IEDs – More Deadly...................................53
Iraq – Drawing Down, But What Next?....................................54
Casualties .....................55
Weapons Of Mass Destruction....................56
Nuclear And Missile Defence Policy...........57
Market Overview....................59
Arms Trade Overview.................................61
New Markets.................62
Industry Trends And Developments ............64
Defence And Procurement Trends And Developments..............67
Major New Products And Technical Developments..................67
Industry Forecast Scenario .................................72
Armed Forces ...............72
Table: US Armed Forces, 2006-2014 (‘000 personnel) ............72
Government Expenditure On Defence Industry.........................73
Table: US Defence Expenditure And Employment, 2006-2014...............................74
Macroeconomic Outlook.............................75
Table: US Economic Data, 2006-2014 .....................................78
Company Profiles..................79
Boeing...........................79
General Dynamics ......................................82
L3 Communications ....................................84
Lockheed Martin.........................................87
Northrop Grumman ....................................89
Raytheon.......................91
Methodology ..................93
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ...............................93
Defence Industry.........................................93
City Terrorism Rating.................................94
Table: Methodology....................................96
Sources .........................97