Vietnam Defence and Security Report Q2 2010

Executive Summary ....................................................5
SWOT Analysis..................6
Vietnam Security SWOT.......................................................... 6
Vietnam Defence Industry SWOT............................................ 6
Vietnam Political SWOT......................................................... 7
Vietnam Economic SWOT....................................................... 7
Vietnam Business Environment SWOT.................................... 8
Global Political Outlook, 2010.....................................9
Table: Election Timetable, 2010............................................. 9
The United States........................ 15
Latin America ............................. 16
Europe ........................................ 16
Middle East................................. 18
Africa.......................................... 20
Asia............................................. 21
What Could Surprise Us In 2010? ........................................ 22
South East Asia Security Overview..........................24
Political Overview......................................................28
Security Risk Ratings ...............................................31
Security Ratings ......................................................... 31
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings...................... 31
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index ........................................... 32
Vietnams Security Risk ........................................................ 32
City Terrorism Rating........................................................... 33
Table: Asia City Terrorism Index............................... 34
Security Overview .....................................................35
Internal Security Situation .................................................... 35
Table: Actual And Attempted Piracy Attacks, 1996-2006 ............................................... 38
External Security Situation ................................................... 40
Bilateral Relations...................... 41
Armed Forces And Government Spending .............43
Armed Forces ............................. 43
Weapons Of Mass Destruction.............................................. 45
Market Overview........................................................46
Industry Trends And Developments ...................................... 46
Arms Trade Overview........................................................... 47
Procurement Trends And Developments............................... 48
Industry Forecast Scenario .......................................50
Army ........................................... 50
Table: Vietnams Armed Forces, 2007-2014 (000 personnel) ........................................ 50
Government Expenditure on Defence Industry ..................... 51
Table: Vietnams Government Defence Expenditure, 2007-2014 .................................... 52
Macroeconomic Forecast ..................................................... 52
Table: Vietnam – Economic Activity..................................... 55
Country Snapshot: Vietnam Demographic Data...............................................56
Section 1: Population............................................................ 56
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030......................... 56
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 ........................ 57
Section 2: Education And Healthcare................................... 57
Table: Education, 2002-2005 ............................................... 57
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030......................................... 57
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power ................... 58
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2004........................... 58
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) ................. 58
Methodology ......................................................59
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ........................... 59
Defence Industry......................... 59
City Terrorism Rating........................................................... 60
Table: Methodology.................... 62
Sources ............................................ 63