Algeria Petrochemicals Report Q1 2010

Executive Summary ......................5
SWOT Analysis..............................6
Table: Algeria Petrochemicals Industry SWOT .................................. 6
Global Market Overview................7
Global Petrochemicals Overview ................. 7
Table: World Ethylene Production By Country, 2009 And 2014 (‘000 tonnes capacity) ........... 7
Table: World Petrochemicals Capacities, 2009 (‘000 tpa)............... 11
Global Oil Products Price Outlook............. 16
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q108-Q409 (US$/bbl)......... 18
Table: Oil Product Prices, 2007-2014 (US$/bbl) ............................. 19
Africa Regional Overview...........20
Table: Africa’s Gas Reserves, 2008 (bn cubic metres) ..................... 20
Table: Africa’s Oil Reserves, 2008 (bn barrels) ............................... 20
Table: Africa’s Cracker Capacity, 2008-2014 (‘000 tpa) ................. 23
Algeria Market Overview.............24
Market Structure......................................... 25
Table: Production Of Petrochemicals, 2004 And 2005 (tonnes)....... 26
Table: Algeria’s Petrochemicals Sector – Cracker Capacity, 2006-2013 (‘000 tpa)............... 26
Industry Trends And Developments ................................27
Upstream .............. 27
Olefins And Polyolefins............................... 31
Table: Petrochemical Capacity At The Planned Arzew Complex ...... 31
Business Environment ...............33
Petrochemicals Business Environment ....... 33
Table: Middle East And Africa Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings ...................... 33
Algeria’s Business Environment ................. 35
Industry Forecast Scenario .........37
Table: Algeria’s Petrochemical Sector – Arzew Complex Capacities, 2012 (‘000 tonnes)...... 39
Table: Algeria’s Petrochemical Sector, 2005-2014 (‘000 tpa, unless otherwise stated) .......... 39
Macroeconomic Activity ............................. 40
Table: Algeria – Economic Activity, 2006-2013 ............................... 42
Company Monitor........................43
Sonatrach/ENIP.......................................... 43
Country Snapshot: Algeria Demographic Data...............49
Section 1: Population.................................. 49
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030..................................... 49
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 .................................... 50
Section 2: Education And Healthcare......... 50
Table: Education Levels, 2002-2025 .......... 50
Table: Healthcare – Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 ............................... 50
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power ............................... 51
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006....................................... 51
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) ............................. 52
BMI Methodology ........................53
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ....................................... 53
Chemicals And Petrochemicals Industry .... 53
Cross Checks ........ 54
Business Environment Ratings.................... 55
Table: Petrochemicals Business Environment Indicators And Rationale................................. 55
Weighting.............. 56
Table: Weighting Of Indicators .................. 56