Global IBS market to reach value of $1.8 billion by 2018
Drugs to treat gastrointestinal disorders are due to see a significant price drop, as patents run out and research takes off. Patients with disorders such as Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS), Crohn's disease, Ulcerative Colitis (UC), Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease (GERD) and Peptic Ulcer Disease (PUD) will experience a rush in new generic versions of popular medication, and new novel drugs with the hope of better results.
The market for gastrointestinal disorder therapeutics is being driven by increased stress, unhealthy eating habits, the growth of the global elderly population and an increased level of awareness among the general population, which has spurred on the rise of incidence and diagnosis over the recent past. Anxiety, unhealthy foods and advanced age can all be associated with changes in gastrointestinal physiology. However, gastrointestinal diseases still have a low diagnosis rate, and a fear of serious side effects may restrain market growth.
The gastrointestinal disorders therapeutics market is set to experience strong generic competition during the forecast period, as several major branded drugs used in to treat gastrointestinal disorders are set to expire during 2011-2015, including Nexium (esomeprazole magnesium), Aciphex (rabeprazole sodium), Tysabri (natalizumab) and Humira (adalimumab). This will result in a decline in the Annual Cost of Treatment (ACT), from $291 in 2011 to $261 in 2018 at a negative Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 1.5%, although the launch of novel biologics will stabilize this drop.
However the market is set to witness a steady growth from 2015 onwards due to the anticipated entry of innovative new drugs, as the industry shows strong R&D activity in IBS, constipation, Crohn's disease and UC with effective and novel drug molecules. There are approximately 269 ongoing clinical trials in the gastrointestinal disorders therapeutics market, with the main focus being on Crohn's disease and UC. 42% of all ongoing clinical trials are in Phase II and 22% are in the late stages (Phase III and NDA-filed). This robust pipeline increases the chance of getting new drugs to market and may represent better treatment options with fewer side effects.
The Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS) and constipation therapeutics markets were valued at $722m and $1.7 billion in 2011, and are expected to grow at CAGRs of 13.7% and 11.1% to $1.8 billion and $3.6 billion respectively in 2018. This high growth rate is attributed to the strong pipeline dominated by First-In-Class (FIC) molecules such as recently launched Linzess (linaclotide). Others include Plecanatide, Xifaxan (rifaximin), Asimadoline and Naloxegol (PEG-naloxol), most of which have demonstrated high safety and efficacy profiles in clinical trials. There is a significant level of unmet need associated with current treatment options for IBS and constipation, and if these new therapies can address them, they will be able to command a price premium, thus driving the market.
This report provides insights into the gastrointestinal disorders therapeutics market until 2018. The report is built using data and information sourced from proprietary databases, primary and secondary research and in-house analysis by our team of industry experts. It provides in-depth analysis of the major diseases, comprising IBS, constipation, Crohn's disease, UC, Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease (GERD) and Peptic Ulcer Disease (PUD). The report also gives the size of the generic share in the global gastrointestinal disorders therapeutics market and in those of the US, the top five countries of Europe, and Japan, as well as treatment usage patterns and geographical distribution. Additionally, it includes insights into the R&D product pipeline and explores the competitive landscape, looking at major players and including analysis of M&A, licensing agreements and co-development deals that have taken place in the past two years.
Our analysis shows that the gastrointestinal disorders therapeutics market is set to witness high generic competition in the forecast period, as major drugs used in the treatment of the aforementioned disorders are set to expire, resulting in declining revenues and allowing generics to enter the market. Nevertheless, the market will witness steady growth due to the anticipated entry of innovative new drugs in the near future. Furthermore, strong R&D in IBS, constipation, Crohn's disease and UC remains a key market driver.
- Data and analysis for the gastrointestinal disorders therapeutics markets in the leading geographies: the US; the top five countries of Europe, comprising the UK, Germany, France, Italy and Spain; Japan; and an overview of India, China and Australia
- Annualized market data for the gastrointestinal disorders therapeutics market from 2004 to 2010 and forecast to 2018
- Market data for the geographical and therapeutic landscapes, including size, share, annual cost of therapy, sales volume and treatment usage patterns for the diseased population, diagnosis population and prescription population
- Generic share in the global market and for each indication
- Key drivers and restraints that have had a significant impact on the market
- The competitive landscape of the global market, looking at key companies such as AstraZeneca, Takeda, Johnson & Johnson , Eisai, Abbott, Shire and Salix
- Key M&A activity and licensing agreements that took place between 2010 and 2012
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- Device a more tailored country strategy by understanding the key drivers, barriers and market potential for each indication
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- Reinforce R&D pipelines by identifying new target mechanisms producing safer and more efficacious FIC molecules