BRIC - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Forecasts

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Market	Telecommunications
Report Type	Market Research
Country	Global
Published	1 August 2009
Number of Pages	750
Report Delivery	Email
Delivery Lead Time	-
Publisher	BuddeComm

Brazil holds almost one third of all mobile users in Latin America

The key emerging markets of Brazil, Russia, India and China, collectively nicknamed BRIC, are forecast to dominate the world economy by the middle of the twenty-first century.

Brazil's telecom sector has been fully liberalised; there are no restrictions on foreign telecom capital except for cable TV. Competition is encouraged by the government. Mobile telephony is the strongest telecom market, with fixed-to-mobile substitution leaving the fixed-line sector stagnant despite low teledensity. Brazil holds almost one third of all mobile users in Latin America. Mobile penetration is lower than the regional average, and the mobile market is expected to continue to grow despite the financial crisis.

The recent global financial crisis has dented Russia's strong economic recovery from the 1998 financial crisis, particularly due to the crash in commodity prices and associated customs duties and taxes which account for nearly half of the federal budget revenue. Exacerbating the situation was the highly leveraged Russian corporations, exposure to US mortgage-backed securities and capital outflows due to concerns over state interference in the economy and increasing tensions between Russia and the West over the conflict in Georgia; these concerns triggered rating agencies to downgrade Russia's credit rating.

Despite the economic slowdown the telecoms market will fare relatively well given the essential nature of most telecom services although market segments will be affected differently; voice is expected to remain stable while the annual growth rate of the pay TV market in 2009 is expected to be half that of the previous year. The other impact is in capital expenditure, with the cost of financing pushing back projects as operators seek to preserve liquidity.

India without a doubt continues to be one of the most dynamic and fastest growing major telecom markets in the world. There was little evidence by mid-2009 that the global financial crisis was dampening growth in any significant way.

The mobile sector in particular continues its strong march forward. The country's mobile subscriber base has already grown from around 10 million in 2002 to 350 million by the start of 2009. A number of factors have been responsible for this amazing growth, including low tariffs, low handset prices and most notably a highly competitive market created by the government and the regulator. While GSM technology remains dominant, by early 2009 CDMA was still managing to hang on to a 25% market share.

The Chinese telecommunications market is the largest in the world. With the mobile sector still expanding at over 15% going into 2009, and the long-awaited licensing of 3G services completed after finalising the industry restructure, the market is poised for yet another boost amongst what is hoped to be a more level playing field. The importance of the regulatory regime must not be underestimated in a market like China, where political and commercial considerations are closely intertwined.

China's telecommunications industry experienced much disruption during 2008. In early 2008, massive snow storms, the worst in five decades, caused widespread disruption to telecom services. Then, later in the year, a major earthquake struck near the Sichuan provincial capital of Chengdu. The 7.5 magnitude quake resulted in thousands being evacuated from buildings in Beijing, some 1,500 km from the epicentre. These natural disasters tested the networks of the major telcos, not to mention their disaster recovery response times.

Despite these testing events, the market continued to experience healthy growth. Not even the global financial crisis could stall the profound growth that has been the phenomenon of the China market in the last decade. The networks withstood the onslaught of the Olympic Games and although uncomfortable under the scrutiny of the international press and the media glare due to China's strict enforcement of Internet regulations, the country's networks were robust and successfully beamed coverage of the major sporting event worldwide.

Possibly the most significant change in the Chinese telecommunications market finally occurred in mid-2008 when the market itself was transformed into three major full service operators. The restructuring merged six of the country's state-owned mobile phone and fixed-line operators into three nationwide carriers offering fixed-line and wireless services, instead of dividing coverage in terms of region or type of service. The newly formed China Mobile, China Telecom and China Unicom are expected to compete fiercely in 2009 to establish themselves as full-service operators.

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Brazil Table of Contents

1. Key Statistics

2. Telecommunications Market

2.1 Overview of Brazil's telecom market

3. Regulatory Environment

3.1 History

3.2 Regulatory developments

3.3 Regulatory authority

3.3.1 Anatel

3.4 Privatisation of Telebrás

3.5 Mirror companies

3.6 Telecom sector liberalisation in Brazil

3.7 Universalisation goals

3.8 Government telecom funds - Fust, Fistel, and Funttel

3.9 Foreign investment

3.10 Number portability (NP)

3.11 Access

3.12 Interconnection

3.13 Tariffs

3.14 Per-minute billing system

3.15 Special Class Individual Access (AICE)

3.16 Fixed-line contract renewal - January 2006

4. Fixed Network Operators in Brazil

4.1 Overview of fixed network market

4.1.1 Privatisation and liberalisation

4.1.2 Oi and Brasil Telecom merger

4.2 Oi (Telemar)

4.3 Brasil Telecom

4.4 Telesp

4.5 Embratel

4.5.1 Telmex do Brasil

4.5.2 Net Serviços de Comunicação

4.6 GVT

4.7 Intelig Telecom

4.8 CTBC Telecom

4.9 Sercomtel

5. Telecommunications Infrastructure

5.1 National telecom networks

5.1.1 Public payphones

5.1.2 Wireless Local Loop (WLL)

5.1.3 Very Small Aperture Terminal (VSAT) networks

5.2 International infrastructure

5.2.1 Submarine cable networks

5.2.2 Satellite networks

5.3 Infrastructure developments

5.3.1 IP and Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP)

6. Internet Market
6.1 Overview

6.1.1 Internet statistics

6.2 Brazil's ISP market

6.2.1 ISP market - historical highlights

6.3 Internet economy

6.3.1 E-Commerce

6.3.2 E-government

6.3.3 E-health

6.3.4 E-education

7. Broadband Market

7.1 Overview

7.1.1 Broadband statistics

7.1.2 Digital inclusion and GESAC

7.2 Cable modems

7.2.1 Net Vírtua (Net Serviços de Comunicação)

7.3 ADSL

7.3.1 Telesp

7.3.2 Brasil Telecom

7.3.3 Oi (Telemar)

7.3.4 GVT

7.4 Wireless broadband

7.4.1 Internet via satellite

7.4.2 WiFi

7.4.3 WiMAX

7.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL) and smart grids

7.6 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks

8. Convergence

8.1 Overview of media convergence

8.2 Fixed-Mobile Convergence (FMC)

8.3 Triple play models

8.4 Quadruple play

8. Convergence

8.1 Overview of media convergence

8.2 Fixed-Mobile Convergence (FMC)

8.3 Triple play models

8.4 Quadruple play

8.5 Regulatory issues

8.6 Pay TV

8.6.1 Pay TV statistics

8.6.2 Foreign ownership regulations

8.6.3 Cable TV

8.6.4 Multichannel Multipoint Distribution Systems (MMDS)

8.6.5 Satellite TV

8.6.6 Major pay TV players

8.6.7 Broadband TV (IPTV)

8.7 Digital Terrestrial TV

9. Mobile Communications

9.1 Overview of Brazil's mobile market

9.1.1 Mobile statistics

9.2 Privatisation of Telebrás

9.3 Regulatory issues

9.3.1 Carrier preselection

9.3.2 Number portability

9.3.3 Mobile consumer rights protection

9.3.4 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions

9.4 Mobile technologies

9.4.1 SMP and SMC

9.4.2 GSM

9.4.3 Third generation mobile

9.5 Major mobile operators

9.5.1 Overview

9.5.2 Vivo

9.5.3 Claro

9.5.4 TIM Brasil

9.5.5 Oi (TNL-PCS - Telemar)

9.5.6 Brasil Telecom Celular

9.5.7 Nextel Brasil

9.5.8 CTBC Telecom

9.5.9 Sercomtel Celular

9.5.10 Unicel/Aeiou

9.6 Mobile voice services

9.6.1 Prepaid cards

9.6.2 Satellite mobile

9.6.3 In-flight mobile phone usage

9.7 Mobile data services

9.7.1 Short Message Service (SMS)

9.7.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)

9.7.3 Wireless Application Protocol (WAP)

9.7.4 Push-to-Talk (PTT)

9.7.5 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)

9.7.6 High capacity mobile voice/data services (1xRTT)

9.7.7 Broadband wireless data service (1x EV-DO)

9.7.8 BlackBerry

9.7.9 Mobile TV

9.7.10 iPhone

9.8 Mobile content and applications

9.8.1 Location-Based Services (LBS)

9.8.2 Gaming

9.8.3 Mobile banking

10. Forecasts

10.1 Overview

10.2 Forecasts - fixed-line market to 2018

10.3 Forecasts - broadband market to 2018

10.4 Forecasts - mobile market to 2018

11. Glossary of Abbreviations

Russia Table of Contents
1. Key Statistics

2. Telecommunications Market

2.1 Overview of Russia's telecom market

3. Regulatory Environment

3.1 History

3.1.1 Telecommunications Law 2003

3.2 Regulatory authority

3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Russia

3.3.1 Privatisation

3.3.2 Interconnection

3.3.3 Access

3.3.4 Carrier selection

3.3.5 Universal service obligation

3.3.6 Calling Party Pays (CPP) legislation

3.3.7 Local call tariffs

4. Fixed Network Operators in Russia

4.1 Market overview

4.2 Svyazinvest

4.2.1 Svyazinvest regional operators

4.2.2 Rostelecom

4.2.3 Central Telegraph

4.3 Golden Telecom / Beeline

4.4 Multiregional Transit Telecom

4.5 TransTeleCom

4.6 PeterStar

4.7 ER-Telecom

4.8 Comstar / MGTS

5. Telecommunications Infrastructure

5.1 Introduction

5.2 Local

5.2.1 Svyazinvest regional operators

5.2.2 Central Telegraph

5.2.3 Comstar/MGTS

5.2.4 Golden Telecom

5.2.5 PeterStar

5.3 National

5.3.1 Golden Telecom

5.3.2 Rostelecom

5.3.3 TransTeleCom

5.3.4 Other

5.4 Satellite networks

5.5 Telecoms and IT

6. Internet Market

6.1 Overview

6.1.1 Internet statistics

6.1.2 Search engines

6.1.3 Russia's emerging Internet society

6.2 Internet access locations

6.3 ISP market

6.3.1 RTComm

7. Broadband Market

7.1 Overview

7.1.1 Fixed broadband statistics

7.2 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)

7.3 Cable modems

7.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks

7.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL)

7.6 Wireless broadband

7.6.1 WiFi

7.6.2 WiMAX

7.6.3 Internet via satellite

8. Convergence

8.1 Introduction

8.2 Triple play

8.3 Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP)

8.4 Digital content

8.5 Overview of broadcasting market

8.5.1 Free-to-Air (FTA)

8.6 Digital TV

8.6.1 Broadband TV (IPTV)

8.6.2 Cable TV (CATV)

8.6.3 Satellite-based digital pay TV developments

8.6.4 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)

9. Mobile Communications

9.1 Overview and analysis of Russia's mobile market

9.1.1 Mobile handsets

9.1.2 Mobile statistics

9.2 Regulatory issues

9.2.1 Mobile number portability

9.2.2 3G licences

9.2.3 Calling Party Pays (CPP) legislation

9.3 Mobile technologies

9.3.1 Digital

9.3.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile

9.4 Major mobile operators

9.4.1 Mobile TeleSystems (MTS)

9.4.2 VimpelCom

9.4.3 MegaFon

9.4.4 Tele2 Russia

9.4.5 SMARTS Group

9.4.6 Skylink

9.4.7 Uralsvyazinform

9.4.8 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)

9.5 Mobile voice services

9.5.1 Prepaid

9.5.2 Satellite mobile

9.6 Mobile data services

9.6.1 SMS/MMS

9.6.2 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)

9.6.3 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)

9.6.4 Mobile broadband

9.6.5 i-mode

9.6.6 BlackBerry

9.6.7 Mobile TV

9.7 Mobile content and applications

9.7.1 Overview

9.7.2 Business market services

9.7.3 M-commerce

10. Forecasts

10.1 Forecasts - Fixed broadband market to 2019

10.1.1 Scenario 1 - higher fixed broadband subscriber growth

10.1.2 Scenario 2 - lower fixed broadband subscriber growth

11. Glossary of Abbreviations

India Table of Contents
1. Key Statistics

1.1 Subscribers statistics

2. Telecommunications Market

2.1 Overview

2.2 Analysis: India and the global financial crisis - February 2009

2.3 Foreign investment

2.4 Universal service

3. Regulatory Environment

3.1 Overview

3.2 Telecommunications authorities

3.2.1 Ministry for Communications (MoC)

3.2.2 Department of Telecommunications (DoT)

3.2.3 Telecom Commission

3.2.4 Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI)

3.2.5 Telecom Dispute Settlement & Appellate Tribunal (TDSAT)

3.2.6 Telecom Sector Ombudsman (TSO)

3.3 Regulatory background

3.3.1 Licensing circles

3.3.2 Licence fees and taxes

3.4 National Telecom Policies

3.4.1 National Telecom Policies 1999 (NTP-99)

3.4.2 Addendum to NTP-99

3.4.3 Proposed new National Telecom Policy (NTP)

3.5 Foreign investment

3.6 Regulatory reforms

3.6.1 Overview

3.6.2 Access Deficit Charge (ADC)

3.6.3 Rural telephony

3.6.4 Quality of Service (QoS)

3.6.5 Local Loop Unbundling (LLU)

3.6.6 Conditional Access System (CAS)

3.7 Fixed-line (Basic Service) licences

3.7.1 Licensing guidelines

3.7.2 Development of basic service sector

3.7.3 National Long-Distance (NLD)

3.7.4 International Long-Distance (ILD)

3.7.5 ‘Fixed' mobile

3.7.6 Basic service tariffs

3.7.7 Compensation

3.7.8 Other outcomes

3.8 Privatisation

3.8.1 VSNL (subsequently Tata Communications)

3.8.2 MTNL / BSNL

4. Fixed Network Operators in India

4.1 Overview of operators

4.1.1 Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited (BSNL)

4.1.2 Bharti Airtel (formerly Bharti Telenet)

4.1.3 Hughes Telecom

4.1.4 Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Limited (MTNL)

4.1.5 Tata Teleservices Ltd

4.1.6 Reliance Infocomm

4.1.7 Shyam Telelink

4.1.8 BSNL/MTNL merger

4.2 International operators

4.2.1 Market development

4.2.2 Tata Communications (formerly VSNL)

4.2.3 Data Access

4.2.4 Bharti Telesonic

4.2.5 Reliance Communications

4.3 Other operators

5. Telecommunications Infrastructure

5.1 National infrastructure

5.1.1 Overview

5.1.2 Network development

5.1.3 National network

5.1.4 Infrastructure sharing

5.1.5 Rural and regional networks

5.1.6 Fibre optic cable projects

5.1.7 Wireless Local Loop (WLL)

5.2 International infrastructure

5.2.1 Overview

5.2.2 India-Pakistan

5.2.3 Submarine cable networks

5.2.4 Satellite communications

5.3 Infrastructure developments

5.3.1 Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP)

5.3.2 IP networks

5.3.3 Next Generation Networks (NGNs)

6. Internet Market

6.1 Overview

6.1.1 Growth path

6.1.2 Growth issues

6.1.3 Service disruption

6.2 Regulatory issues

6.2.1 Internet policy

6.2.2 National Internet Exchange of India (NIXI)

6.2.3 Pricing

6.2.4 Domain names

6.2.5 Censorship and security

6.3 ISP market

6.3.1 Major ISPs

6.3.2 Internet telephony licences

7. Broadband Market

7.1 Overview

7.1.1 Broadband statistics

7.2 Market development

7.3 National Broadband Policy 2004

7.4 Personal computers

7.5 Cable modems

7.6 Digital Subscriber Line (DSL)

7.7 Wireless broadband

7.7.1 WiMAX

7.8 Satellite

7.8.1 DirecPC

7.8.2 Bharti Broadband Networks

7.8.3 Reliance broadband network

7.9 Broadband over Powerline (BPL)

7.10 Other broadband networks

8. Convergence

8.1 Overview

8.2 Triple play

8.3 Overview of broadcasting market

8.3.1 Statistical overview

8.3.2 Regulatory issues

8.4 Digital TV

8.4.1 Internet Protocol TV (IPTV)

8.4.2 Cable TV

8.4.3 Satellite TV

8.4.4 Major cable and pay TV operators

8.4.5 Free-to-Air TV

9. Mobile Communications

9.1 Overview of India's mobile market

9.1.1 Market background

9.1.2 Mobile statistics

9.1.3 Mobile market segments

9.1.4 Pricing and marketing strategies

9.2 Regulatory issues

China Table of Contents
1. Key Statistics

2. Telecommunications Market

2.1 Overview of China's telecom market

2.2 China's telecom market restructure in 2008

2.3 Fixed-lines and mobiles

2.4 Timetable for China's telephone users

3. Regulatory Environment

3.1 Overview

3.2 Tenth Five-Year Plan (2000-2005)

3.3 Eleventh Five-Year Plan (2006-2010)

3.4 Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT)

3.4.1 Ministry of Information Industry (MII)

3.4.2 MII expansion

3.4.3 Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT)

3.5 2008 Global economic crisis: how will China react?

3.5.1 China's RMB4 trillion for infrastructure spending

3.6 Previous restructuring of the telecommunications operators

3.6.1 WTO accession

3.7 Yearly summaries of major regulatory developments

3.7.1 Year 2009

3.7.2 Year 2008

3.7.3 Year 2007

3.7.4 Year 2006

4. Major Telecom Operators

4.1 Overview of major players

4.1.1 2002 industry restructure

4.1.2 Drivers for further business restructuring in China

4.1.3 2008 industry restructure

4.1.4 Newly formed entities

4.2 China Mobile Ltd (CML)

4.2.1 Company overview

4.2.2 Financial and operating highlights - Annual Report 2008

4.2.3 Recent developments

4.2.4 China Tietong (merged into China Mobile)

4.3 China Telecom

4.3.1 Company overview

4.3.2 Financial and operating highlights - Annual Report 2008

4.3.3 Recent developments

4.3.4 China Satcom (merged into China Telecom)

4.4 China Unicom

4.4.1 Company overview

4.4.2 Financial and operating highlights - Annual Report 2008

4.4.3 Recent developments

4.4.4 China Netcom (merged into China Telecom)

5. Telecommunications Infrastructure

5.1 Overview of infrastructure developments in China

5.2 National telecom networks

5.2.1 Backbone Internet networks

5.3 International infrastructure

5.3.1 Submarine cable infrastructure

5.3.2 Satellite infrastructure

5.4 IP networks

5.4.1 IP-Virtual Private Network (IP-VPN)

5.4.2 Peer-to-Peer (P2P) streaming

5.5 Next Generation Networks (NGNs)

5.6 China's world first eco city

5.7 Environmental focus for smart grids

5.7.1 Overview

5.7.2 Policy

5.7.3 Call for a modern grid

5.7.4 Smart grid in Anhui Province

5.8 China builds its own Silicon Delta

5.9 Snow storms damage operator infrastructure

5.10 Earthquake response

6. Internet Market

6.1 Overview

6.1.1 Internet subscribers

6.2 Internet regulations and censorship

6.2.1 Overview

6.3 E-services

6.3.1 Overview

6.3.2 E-commerce

6.3.3 Government e-commerce projects

6.3.4 E-payment systems

6.3.5 E-government

6.3.6 E-entertainment

6.3.7 Social networking

6.3.8 Search engines

6.3.9 Instant Messaging (IM)

7. Broadband Market

7.1 Overview

7.2 Broadband statistics

7.3 Broadband forecasts

7.4 Broadband networks

7.4.1 Overview

7.4.2 Cable modems

7.4.3 Digital Subscriber Line (DSL)

7.4.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH)

7.4.5 Broadband over Powerline (BPL)

7.4.6 Wireless broadband

7.5 IP telephony/VoIP

7.5.1 Market overview

7.6 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH)

7.6.1 Market overview

7.6.2 Gigabit Ethernet/FTTx+LAN

8. Convergence

8.1 Overview of media convergence

8.2 Triple play models

8.3 Television broadcasting

8.4 Digital TV

8.4.1 Broadband TV

8.4.2 Cable TV

8.4.3 Satellite TV

8.4.4 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)

8.4.5 Interactive TV (iTV)

9. Mobile Communications

9.1 Overview of China's mobile market

9.2 3G licences

9.3 Mobile statistics

9.4 Mobile Internet

9.5 Regulatory issues

9.5.1 Price wars

9.5.2 Subscriber registration

9.5.3 Calling Party Pays (CPP)

9.6 Mobile technologies

9.6.1 GSM

9.6.2 CDMA

9.6.3 PAS/PHS (Little Smart/Xiaolingtong)

9.6.4 WiMAX

9.6.5 Third Generation (3G) mobile

9.6.6 WCDMA

9.6.7 CDMA2000

9.6.8 Fourth Generation (4G) mobile

9.7 Mobile handset market

9.7.1 Overview

9.8 Mobile voice services

9.8.1 Prepaid cards (SIM and PIM cards)

9.5 Regulatory issues

9.5.1 Price wars

9.5.2 Subscriber registration

9.5.3 Calling Party Pays (CPP)

9.6 Mobile technologies

9.6.1 GSM

9.6.2 CDMA

9.6.3 PAS/PHS (Little Smart/Xiaolingtong)

9.6.4 WiMAX

9.6.5 Third Generation (3G) mobile

9.6.6 WCDMA

9.6.7 CDMA2000

9.6.8 Fourth Generation (4G) mobile

9.7 Mobile handset market

9.7.1 Overview

9.8 Mobile voice services

9.8.1 Prepaid cards (SIM and PIM cards)

9.8.2 Satellite mobile

9.9 Mobile data services

9.9.1 Market overview

9.9.2 Short Message Service (SMS)

9.9.3 Wireless Application Protocol (WAP)

9.9.4 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)

9.9.5 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)

9.9.6 Push-to-Talk (PTT)

9.9.7 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)

9.9.8 Broadband wireless data services

9.9.9 Mobile TV

9.10 Mobile applications

9.10.1 Market overview

9.10.2 Surge in new applications development

9.10.3 Global positioning systems (GPS)

9.10.4 M-commerce

9.10.5 Mobile gaming

9.10.6 IM search services

9.10.7 Ringtones

9.10.8 Mobile music

9.10.9 Mobile Internet

9.10.10 Push email

10. Forecasts

10.1 Overview

10.2 Forecasts - fixed-line market to 2018

10.3 Forecasts - Internet services to 2018

10.4 Forecasts - broadband market to 2018

10.5 Forecasts - mobile market to 2018

11. Glossary of Abbreviations

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