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Central Asia Telecommunications Report Q4 2009

330

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An electronic version (mostly PDF, but can be Excel or PPT), which is either available for immediate download or will be sent via email by the Publisher of the report. The licencing for an electronic version is for use by the purchaser ONLY.

£330.00

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Market

Telecommunications

Report Type

Market Research

Country

Asia

Published

21 October 2009

Number of Pages

78

Report Delivery

Download

Delivery Lead Time

Immediate

Publisher

Business Monitor International

Fixed-line penetration in Central Asia is below 10% in all of the countries except for Kazakhstan

The Central Asia Telecommunications Report for Q409 covers Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan, with five-year forecasts for the mobile and fixed-line sectors, as well as market data analysis sections for the mobile, fixed-line and internet markets. This quarter we have updated our fixed-line forecasts for Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan in addition to adding new internet and broadband data to the market data analysis sections.

Central Asia’s fixed-line market’s are relatively underdeveloped and dominated by the countries’ respective fixed-line incumbents. Competition in the market does vary but even in the more developed markets such as Kazakhstan, competition is not particularly fierce, with most alternative operators choosing to target the growing internet sectors over fixed-line. Nevertheless, fixed-line penetration in the region is increasing, albeit at a slow and steady pace. Fixed-line penetration in Central Asia is below 10% in all of the countries except for Kazakhstan where penetration is now above 20%. Going forward, we are not anticipating dramatic increases in the region’s fixed-line subscriber bases. Although fixed-line networks are being expanded, the mobile sectors are expanding at a much faster rate and fixed-to-mobile substitution is expected to grow in prominence.

The region’s internet sectors are by far the least developed, with internet usage and broadband subscriptions being extremely low. However, the sectors do appear to be developing with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan leading the way and even witnessing the launch of advanced services such as IPTV. Although none of the incumbents have yet been privatised there are several large foreign players in the region including Russia’s VimpelCom and South Korea’s KT Corp through East Telecom. The broadband markets in Central Asia offer the most growth potential and as the sectors are liberalised BMI is expecting considerable amounts of investment to be ploughed in. However, until the incumbents are privatised or up their investment levels we do not anticipate dramatic improvements in the region’s broadband markets. The privatisations of Kazakhtelecom, Tajiktelecom, Kyrgyztelecom and Uzbektelecom are all on the cards, and a good deal of interest is being shown. The potential of the broadband sector in Central Asia, coupled with a presence in high-growth mobile markets, makes the incumbents extremely attractive acquisition targets. Given the underdeveloped nature of the countries’ wireline infrastructures, alternative technologies such as WiMAX and satellite-based broadband offer huge potential in the voice and broadband markets.

The mobile markets are by far the most liberalised and developed sectors in each of the Central Asian countries. The Russian operators MTS, VimpelCom and MegaFon all have significant interests across the region, competing with each other and Nordic giant TeliaSonera, along with Turkey’s Turkcell through their joint venture Fintur Holdings.

During the second quarter of 2009 BMI estimates that Kazakhstan’s mobile market penetration broke the 100% barrier becoming the first country in the region to do so. In 2010 we have forecast Kyrgyzstan’s mobile penetration to also break 100%, with Uzbekistan following in 2011 and Tajikistan in 2013.

However, in Turkmenistan, which is the least developed and most closed of the region’s markets, we have forecast mobile penetration to reach just 67% by the end of 2013.

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Select License Type

Electronic License

Electronic License

An electronic version (mostly PDF, but can be Excel or PPT), which is either available for immediate download or will be sent via email by the Publisher of the report. The licencing for an electronic version is for use by the purchaser ONLY.

£330.00

Change Currency

GBP EURO USD

Change Currency

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