Iran Telecommunications Report Q4 2009

Executive Summary ....................7
SWOT Analysis............................8
Iran Mobile SWOT.................. 8
Iran Wireline SWOT ............... 9
Iran Political SWOT ............. 10
Iran Economic SWOT........... 10
Iran Business Environment SWOT.................................................. 11
Business Environment Rankings .......................................................12
Middle East................................ 12
Iran ............................................ 14
Table: Middle East Business Environment Rankings...................... 16
Industry Forecast Scenario .......17
Mobile................................... 17
Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile – Historical Data & Forecasts... 17
Fixed Line............................. 19
Table: Telecoms Sector – Fixed Line – Historical Data & Forecasts........................................................ 19
Internet ................................. 20
Table: Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts .. 20
Market Data Analysis ................22
Mobile................................... 22
Table: Iran – Mobile Market Growth, 2007-2009........................... 23
Table: Iran – Mobile Market, Q209................................................ 24
ARPU.................................... 25
3G......................................... 26
Mobile Contract Wins........... 28
Table: Mobile Contract Wins.......................................................... 28
Mobile Content .......................... 29
Regional Outlook.................. 29
Country Outlook ................... 29
SMS....................................... 30
Mobile Banking..................... 31
Value-Added Services Timeline....................................................... 32
Table: Selected VAS Services.......................................................... 32
Mobile Operator Data .......... 33
Hamrahe Aval (Mobile Communications Company of Iran)........... 33
MTN Irancell ........................ 33
Taliya (Rafsanjan Industrial Complex)........................................... 34
Kish Free Zone Organization (KFZO)............................................ 34
Mobile Telecommunications Company Of Esfahan (MTCE) ........... 35
Fixed Line.................................. 36
Table: Iran – Fixed-Line Growth, 1997-2008................................. 36
TCI Privatisation .................. 37
Internet ...................................... 39
Broadband ............................ 40
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments.........................42
Iran: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities ....................... 42
Legislation And Market Liberalisation ........................................... 42
Privatisation Of TCI ............. 43
Competition .......................... 44
Regulation............................. 44
Licensing And Spectrum ....... 45
Regulatory Developments........46
Megafon Denies Being Offered Licence.......................................... 46
Competitive Landscape............47
Key Players........................... 47
Table: Key Players – Iranian Telecoms Market.............................. 47
Company Monitor...................... 48
Africa – A Key Region .......... 49
Vendor Financing In Africa ............................................................ 50
Profiles .......................................51
Appendix: ...................................58
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview.....................58
Fixed Line............................. 58
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview......................... 58
Mobile................................... 59
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview............................... 59
Broadband ............................ 60
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview ........................ 60
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings Methodology.................61
Ratings Overview.................. 61
Weighting................................... 62
Weighting.............................. 62
Indicators................................... 62
Indicators.............................. 63
Country Snapshot: Iran Demographic Data ......................................64
Section 1: Population............ 64
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030................................... 64
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 .................................. 65
Section 2: Education And Healthcare............................................. 65
Table: Education, 2002-2005 ......................................................... 65
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030................................................... 65
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power ............................. 66
Table: Employment Indicators, 1996-2005..................................... 66
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) ........................... 67
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012 ............ 67
BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary .......................................................68
BMI Telecommunications Forecasting & Sourcing ..........................69
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts .......................................... 69
Telecommunications Industry Forecast Table ................................ 69
Key Indicators....................... 69
Business Environment Ratings........................................................ 69
Sources ...................................... 70