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Southern Africa Telecommunications Report Q2 2009
Market |
Telecommunications |
Report Type |
Market Research |
Country |
|
Published |
21 May 2009 |
Number of Pages |
61 |
Download |
|
Immediate |
|
Publisher |
Business Monitor International |
The Africa coverage has seen some big changes this quarter. After the East African countries Kenya, Tanzania, Sudan and Uganda were split out into their own individual country reports, the East and Southern Africa report underwent a necessary transformation, and now emerges as the new Southern Africa report. Now that it contains fewer countries,the report is able to include more analysis on each one, particularly with more SWOT analysis, providing a quick and convenient breakdown of the essential points that are affecting a market or a company. We have also made some changes to the structure of the report, with mobile and fixed-line and internet sections separated, and four new company profiles. More changes and developments are set to continue coming in the future, with more broadband analysis and company information planned for forthcoming reports.
Another exciting development that this new Southern Africa report features is fixed-line and internet and broadband forecasts for the four countries Angola, Botswana, Mauritius and Mozambique, to add to the updated mobile forecasts. For the first time the report has analysed and predicted what will happen to these markets in the next five years up to 2013, with the most notable trends being that fixed line is likely to start declining, if it has not already, and broadband will be pretty slow to take off, in spite of some enthusiastic investors.
On the mobile front, Mauritius has seen somewhat stagnating growth. Despite having a lower penetration than Botswana, its growth rate has actually been lower. Mauritius actually fell slightly short of the expectation for the end of 2008, and Botswana showed a bit of a recovery at the end of the year and managed to meet our expectations.
While those two markets are fairly advanced and are experiencing the corresponding slowing growth, though one rather faster than the other, Mozambique and Angola share the characteristics of low penetrations and high growth potential. Both managed to overshoot the expectations for the end of 2008 by a short way. While we are pleased with growth in both these markets, it is strongly believed that both would benefit from greater liberalisation. There are some hopes on this front, which are distinctly more pronounced when it comes to Mozambique where an auction for a third licence has been officially announced, though no date set. Although MTN has expressed plans to try to get into Angola, we do not yet know of any new licences likely to come up.
One of the biggest issues affecting all markets today is the global economic slowdown. All of these countries are going to be affected, but it will not affect telecoms growth in a very marked way, especially in high growth markets like Angola and Mozambique.
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