India Tourism Report Q3 2011

Executive Summary ....................... 5
SWOT Analysis ......................... 6
India Tourism SWOT .............................. 6
India Political SWOT .............................. 7
India Economic SWOT ................................. 8
India Business Environment SWOT .............................. 9
Industry Forecast Scenario ..................... 10
Arrivals .................................... 10
Table: Arrivals Data, 2007-2015 ........................... 10
Expenditure .................................... 11
Table: Tourist Expenditure And Economic Impact, 2007-2015 ..................... 11
Inbound Tourism .................................. 12
Table: Tourist Arrivals, 2007-2015 ............................ 12
Outbound Tourism ............................... 16
Table: Outbound Tourism Data, 2007-2015 .......................... 16
Market Overview – Travel ........................ 17
Commercial Airlines ................................. 17
Focus On Jet Airways ................................ 18
Focus On Kingfisher Airlines ............................... 19
Focus On Low-Cost Carriers ........................... 19
Table: Airlines Domestic Market Share, 2010 ............................ 19
Improving Infrastructure ................................ 20
Cruises ..................................... 21
Global Oil Products Price Outlook ............................ 22
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q410-Q411 (US$/bbl)..................... 22
Table: Oil Product Price Data And Forecasts, 2008-2015 (US$/bbl) ...................... 25
Market Overview – Hospitality ...................... 27
Hotels .................................. 27
Table: Hotels Data, 2007-2015 (000) ........................ 28
Accommodation Developments ............................. 28
Gaming .................................... 30
Special Focus: 2010 Commonwealth Games ............... 31
Special Focus: Medical Tourism .................. 32
H1N1 And H5N1 Virus Updates ........................... 33
Business Environment Outlook .................... 35
Table: Asia Pacific Travel And Tourism Business Environment Ratings ................... 35
BMIs Security Ratings .............................. 35
Table: Asia Pacific Security Ratings ........................... 36
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index ......................... 37
Indias Security Rating .............................. 37
City Terrorism Ratings .............................. 39
Table: BMIs Asia City Terrorism Index ........................... 40
South Asia Security Overview ............................... 41
Global Assumptions, Q311..................... 53
Table: Global Assumptions, 2009-2015 ............................ 53
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2010-2013 (% change y-o-y) .................... 54
Table: Selected Exchange Rates, 2010-2013 (average) ..................... 54
Developed States .................................. 55
Table: Developed States GDP Growth, 2010-2013 (% change y-o-y) ..................... 55
Emerging Markets................................ 56
Table: Emerging Markets GDP Growth, 2010-2013 (% change y-o-y) ................... 57
Consensus Forecasts ................................. 58
Table: Bloomberg Consensus GDP Growth Forecasts, 2011-2012 (% change y-o-y) ................ 58
Company Profiles ......................... 59
Jet Airways ............................... 59
National Aviation Company of India (Air India) .......................... 61
Taj Hotels ................................. 63
BMI Methodology ......................... 64
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ............................ 64
Tourism Industry .................................. 64
Tourism Ratings – Methodology ............................ 65
Table: Tourism Business Environment Indicators ....................... 66
Table: Weighting Of Components ............................... 67
City Terrorism Ratings .............................. 67
Table: City Terrorism Ratings Methodology.......................... 69
Sources .................................... 69