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Indonesia Oil and Gas Report Q1 2009 (Business Monitor International)
- Market: Energy and Utilities
- Report Title: Indonesia Oil and Gas Report Q1 2009
- View Report Summary: View Report Summary
- Report Type: Market Report
- Country: Indonesia
- Number of Pages: 109
Executive Summary ....................6
SWOT Analysis............................9
Indonesia Political SWOT....... 9
Indonesia Economic SWOT ............................... 10
Indonesia Business Environment SWOT ............ 11
Indonesia Energy Market Overview.......................12
Global Oil Market Overview......15
Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) .......... 15
Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d).............. 16
Oil Price Outlook .......................17
Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2007-2008 ..... 20
Revised Forecasts ...................... 20
Table: Oil Price Forecasts................................. 21
Oil Products Price Outlook.......21
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions 2008-2009 (US$/bbl) .......... 22
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts (US$/bbl)................................ 24
Regional Energy Market Overview ........................28
Oil Supply And Demand........ 28
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d) ............................... 29
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d) ..... 30
Oil: Downstream .................. 31
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)........................ 31
Gas Supply And Demand ...... 32
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm) ..... 32
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm) ........ 33
Liquefied Natural Gas .......... 34
Table: Asia Pacific LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm).......................... 34
Business Environment Ranking ............................35
Asia Pacific Region............... 35
Composite Scores.................. 35
Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating.......................... 36
Regional Downstream Business Environment Rating ..................... 37
Upstream Scores................... 37
Downstream Scores .............. 38
Indonesia Upstream Rating – Overview ............ 38
Indonesia Upstream Rating – Potential Returns ............................. 38
Indonesia Upstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns................ 38
Indonesia Downstream Rating – Overview........ 39
Indonesia Downstream Rating – Potential Returns ........................ 39
Indonesia Downstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns ........... 39
Business Environment .............40
Legal Framework....................... 40
Infrastructure............................. 41
Labour Force............................. 42
Foreign Investment Policy ......... 43
Tax Regime................................ 44
Industry Forecast Scenario......46
Oil and Gas Reserves................. 46
Oil Supply And Demand............. 46
Gas Supply And Demand ........... 49
LNG.............. 51
Refining And Oil Products Trade............................ 53
Revenues/Import Costs............... 54
Table: Indonesia Oil & Gas – Historical Data & Forecasts........... 55
Other Energy ............................. 56
Table: Indonesia Other Energy – Historical Data & Forecasts...... 57
Key Risks To Forecast Scenario.............................. 57
Long-Term Energy Outlook ....... 57
Macroeconomic Outlook ...........58
Table: Indonesia - Economic Activity ................ 61
Competitive Landscape............62
Executive Summary.................... 62
Table: Key Players – Indonesian Oil & Gas Sector........................ 63
Overview/State Role................... 63
Table: Key Upstream Players ............................ 65
Table: Key Downstream Players ....................... 65
Company Monitor......................66
Pertamina .................................. 66
Chevron Indonesia..................... 71
ExxonMobil Indonesia ............... 74
BP Indonesia.............................. 78
CNOOC Indonesia..................... 81
ConocoPhillips Indonesia.......... 84
Total – Summary................... 87
PetroChina – Summary......... 87
Petronas – Summary............. 87
Marathon – Summary ........... 88
Hess – Summary ................... 88
Inpex – Summary .................. 89
Glossary of Terms.....................90
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology ............91
Introduction ............................... 91
Ratings Overview....................... 91
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure ................................ 92
Indicators................................... 93
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology.......... 93
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology ..... 94
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts ............96
Global Oil Demand.................... 96
Global Oil Demand (000b/d) ............................. 96
Global Oil Production (000b/d)......................... 97
Global Oil Supply ...................... 97
Global Gas Demand .................. 98
Global Gas Demand (bcm) ................................ 98
Global Gas Supply..................... 98
Global Gas Production (bcm)............................ 99
Regional Oil Demand .............. 100
Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d) ........... 100
Regional Oil Supply................. 100
Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d)............... 101
Regional Refining Capacity .................................. 101
Oil: Downstream ..................... 102
Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)................................. 102
Regional Gas Demand ............. 102
Gas Supply And Demand ......... 103
Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm) .............. 103
Regional Gas Supply................ 103
Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm).................. 104
Indonesia Country Overview................................. 104
Indonesia Oil & Gas – Long-Term Forecasts ............................... 105
Indonesia Other Energy – Long-Term Forecasts.......................... 106
Methodology & Risks To Forecasts ...................... 106
BMI Forecast Modelling ...........107
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ........... 107
Oil & Gas Industry .................. 107
Cross Checks ........................... 108
Sources ....... 108
SWOT Analysis............................9
Indonesia Political SWOT....... 9
Indonesia Economic SWOT ............................... 10
Indonesia Business Environment SWOT ............ 11
Indonesia Energy Market Overview.......................12
Global Oil Market Overview......15
Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) .......... 15
Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d).............. 16
Oil Price Outlook .......................17
Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2007-2008 ..... 20
Revised Forecasts ...................... 20
Table: Oil Price Forecasts................................. 21
Oil Products Price Outlook.......21
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions 2008-2009 (US$/bbl) .......... 22
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts (US$/bbl)................................ 24
Regional Energy Market Overview ........................28
Oil Supply And Demand........ 28
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d) ............................... 29
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d) ..... 30
Oil: Downstream .................. 31
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)........................ 31
Gas Supply And Demand ...... 32
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm) ..... 32
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm) ........ 33
Liquefied Natural Gas .......... 34
Table: Asia Pacific LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm).......................... 34
Business Environment Ranking ............................35
Asia Pacific Region............... 35
Composite Scores.................. 35
Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating.......................... 36
Regional Downstream Business Environment Rating ..................... 37
Upstream Scores................... 37
Downstream Scores .............. 38
Indonesia Upstream Rating – Overview ............ 38
Indonesia Upstream Rating – Potential Returns ............................. 38
Indonesia Upstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns................ 38
Indonesia Downstream Rating – Overview........ 39
Indonesia Downstream Rating – Potential Returns ........................ 39
Indonesia Downstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns ........... 39
Business Environment .............40
Legal Framework....................... 40
Infrastructure............................. 41
Labour Force............................. 42
Foreign Investment Policy ......... 43
Tax Regime................................ 44
Industry Forecast Scenario......46
Oil and Gas Reserves................. 46
Oil Supply And Demand............. 46
Gas Supply And Demand ........... 49
LNG.............. 51
Refining And Oil Products Trade............................ 53
Revenues/Import Costs............... 54
Table: Indonesia Oil & Gas – Historical Data & Forecasts........... 55
Other Energy ............................. 56
Table: Indonesia Other Energy – Historical Data & Forecasts...... 57
Key Risks To Forecast Scenario.............................. 57
Long-Term Energy Outlook ....... 57
Macroeconomic Outlook ...........58
Table: Indonesia - Economic Activity ................ 61
Competitive Landscape............62
Executive Summary.................... 62
Table: Key Players – Indonesian Oil & Gas Sector........................ 63
Overview/State Role................... 63
Table: Key Upstream Players ............................ 65
Table: Key Downstream Players ....................... 65
Company Monitor......................66
Pertamina .................................. 66
Chevron Indonesia..................... 71
ExxonMobil Indonesia ............... 74
BP Indonesia.............................. 78
CNOOC Indonesia..................... 81
ConocoPhillips Indonesia.......... 84
Total – Summary................... 87
PetroChina – Summary......... 87
Petronas – Summary............. 87
Marathon – Summary ........... 88
Hess – Summary ................... 88
Inpex – Summary .................. 89
Glossary of Terms.....................90
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology ............91
Introduction ............................... 91
Ratings Overview....................... 91
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure ................................ 92
Indicators................................... 93
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology.......... 93
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology ..... 94
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts ............96
Global Oil Demand.................... 96
Global Oil Demand (000b/d) ............................. 96
Global Oil Production (000b/d)......................... 97
Global Oil Supply ...................... 97
Global Gas Demand .................. 98
Global Gas Demand (bcm) ................................ 98
Global Gas Supply..................... 98
Global Gas Production (bcm)............................ 99
Regional Oil Demand .............. 100
Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d) ........... 100
Regional Oil Supply................. 100
Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d)............... 101
Regional Refining Capacity .................................. 101
Oil: Downstream ..................... 102
Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)................................. 102
Regional Gas Demand ............. 102
Gas Supply And Demand ......... 103
Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm) .............. 103
Regional Gas Supply................ 103
Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm).................. 104
Indonesia Country Overview................................. 104
Indonesia Oil & Gas – Long-Term Forecasts ............................... 105
Indonesia Other Energy – Long-Term Forecasts.......................... 106
Methodology & Risks To Forecasts ...................... 106
BMI Forecast Modelling ...........107
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ........... 107
Oil & Gas Industry .................. 107
Cross Checks ........................... 108
Sources ....... 108
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