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South Africa Defence and Security Report Q3 2008 (Business Monitor International)

  • Market: Defence
  • Report Title: South Africa Defence and Security Report Q3 2008
  • View Report Summary: View Report Summary
  • Report Type: Market Report
  • Country: South Africa
  • Number of Pages: 58
Executive Summary ......5

SWOT Analysis .7

South Africa Political SWOT .... 7

South Africa Security SWOT ..... 7

South Africa Defence Industry SWOT 8

South Africa Economic SWOT .. 8

South Africa Business Environment SWOT . 9

Political Overview ......10

Domestic Political Outlook ..... 10

External Political Outlook ...... 15

Security Risk Analysis ...18

BMI’s Security Ratings .. 18

Risk Ratings . 18

Table: Middle East And Africa Security Ratings 18

Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index .. 19

Regional Security: The Middle East And North Africa .... 19

Inter-State Conflicts 19

Internal Conflicts .. 21

South Africa – Security Ratings ... 23

South Africa – Conflict Risk .... 23

South Africa – Terrorism Risk 23

South Africa – Physical Safety Risk . 24

Security Overview .....25

Internal Security Situation .. 25

HIV/AIDS... 25

Township Unrest ... 25

Table: South Africa – Insurgent Groups ... 25

Latest Developments ...... 26

Internal Security: Recent Developments ... 27

External Security Situation . 28

Background 28

Border Security ..... 28

Latest Developments ...... 28

External Security: Recent Developments .. 29

Military Structure And Defence Industry 30

Armed Forces 30

Historical Strength 30

New Role For The SANDF ...... 30

Acquisitions . 31

HIV/AIDS... 32

‘Army Vision 2020’ . 32

International Deployments ...... 33

Table: South African Foreign Deployments 33

Weapons Of Mass Destruction 34

Market Structure ... 34

Arms Trade Overview .... 36

Industry Trends And Developments . 37
Procurement Trends And Developments ... 39
Defence Industry: Recent Developments ... 39
Air Force ... 39
Navy .... 40
Army ... 41
Industry Forecast Scenario 43
Armed Forces 43
Table: South Africa Defence Sector – Armed Forces (‘000) 43
Table: South Africa’s Defence Sector – Government Ex 46
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario ..... 46
Macroeconomic Forecast 47
Table: South Africa – Economic Activity .. 48
Company Profiles ......49
BAE Systems Land Systems South Africa .. 49
Denel .. 50
ADS (African Defence Systems) 52
Grintek Defence & Technologies ..... 53
Reutech .. 54
Aerosud.. 55
BMI Forecast Modelling .56
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts . 56
Defence Industry ... 56
Sources .... 57

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