Executive Summary ......................5
SWOT Analysis..............................7
Turkmenistan Political SWOT ...................... 7
Turkmenistan Economic SWOT .................... 7
Turkmenistan Business Environment SWOT....................................... 8
Turkmenistan Energy Market Overview.............................9
Regional Energy Market Overview ...................................13
Oil Supply And Demand................................... 13
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Consumption (000b/d) .............. 14
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Production (000b/d).................. 15
Oil: Downstream ....... 16
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)........ 16
Gas Supply And Demand ................................. 17
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Consumption (bcm) ................. 17
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Production (bcm)..................... 18
Liquefied Natural Gas...................................... 19
Table: Central/Eastern Europe LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm)......... 19
Business Environment Ranking .......................................20
Central/Eastern Europe Region.................. 20
Composite Scores........................................ 20
Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating................. 21
Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment Rating............ 22
Upstream Scores......................................... 22
Downstream Scores .................................... 23
Turkmenistan Upstream Rating – Overview ..................................... 23
Turkmenistan Upstream Rating – Potential Returns......................... 23
Turkmenistan Upstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns............ 23
Turkmenistan Downstream Rating – Overview................................. 24
Turkmenistan Downstream Rating – Potential Returns .................... 24
Turkmenistan Downstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns ........ 24
Risk Summary .............................25
Political ..................... 25
Economic ................... 25
Business Environment...................................... 25
Industry Forecast Scenario .........26
Oil And Gas Reserves ...................................... 26
Oil Supply And Demand................................... 27
Gas Supply And Demand ................................. 28
Refining And Oil Products Trade..................... 29
Revenues/Import Costs..................................... 29
Table: Turkmenistan Oil & Gas – Historical Data & Forecasts....... 30
Other Energy ............. 31
Table: Turkmenistan Other Energy – Historical Data & Forecasts ........................................ 31
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario............ 31
Long-Term Oil And Gas Outlook..................... 31
Macroeconomic Outlook .............33
Competitive Landscape..............35
Executive Summary.......................................... 35
Table: Key Domestic And Foreign Companies ................................. 35
Overview/State Role......................................... 36
Table: Key Upstream Players ..................... 39
Table: Downstream Player ......................... 39
Company Monitor........................40
Eni ............................. 40
Dragon Oil................. 42
Petronas – Summary................................... 45
China National Petroleum Corporation – Summary......................... 45
Gazprom – Summary .................................. 46
Itera – Summary ......................................... 46
RWE – Summary......................................... 47
Glossary of Terms.......................48
Oil And Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology...................49
Introduction ............... 49
Ratings Overview....... 49
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure ..... 50
Indicators................... 51
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology..................... 51
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology ................ 52
Oil And Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts...................54
Regional Oil Demand ...................................... 54
Table: CEE Oil Consumption (000b/d)....... 54
Regional Oil Supply......................................... 55
Table: CEE Oil Production (000b/d) .......... 55
Regional Refining Capacity ............................. 56
Table: CEE Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) ..................................... 56
Regional Gas Demand ..................................... 57
Table: CEE Gas Consumption (bcm).......... 57
Regional Gas Supply........................................ 58
Table: CEE Gas Production (bcm) ............. 58
Turkmenistan Country Overview ..................... 58
Methodology And Risks To Forecasts .............. 59
BMI Forecast Modelling..............60
How we generate our industry forecasts .......... 60
Energy Industry ......... 61
Cross Checks ............. 61
Sources ...................... 61

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