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Ukraine Power Report Q4 2008 (Business Monitor International)
- Market: Energy and Utilities
- Report Title: Ukraine Power Report Q4 2008
- View Report Summary: View Report Summary
- Report Type: Market Report
- Country: Ukraine
- Number of Pages: 59
Executive Summary .........6
Ukraine Political SWOT ........................................................ 7
Ukraine Economic SWOT...................................................... 7
Ukraine Business Environment SWOT................................... 8
Industry Overview ............9
Global ......................................................................................... 9
Table: Global Summary, 2005-2012...................................... 9
Central And Eastern Europe................................................ 10
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Generation, 2005-2012 (twh) .......................................................................................................... 11
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2005-2012 (twh) ............................................................................................ 12
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2005-2012 (mn toe)........................................................................................... 13
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Gas Consumption, 2005-2012 (bcm) .......................................................................................................... 14
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Coal Consumption, 2005-2012 (mn toe)..................................................................................................... 15
Table: Central And Eastern Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2005-2012 (twh) ..................................................................................................... 16
Market Overview - Ukraine ........................................................17
Primary Energy Demand ..................................................... 17
Power Generation................................................................ 17
Power Consumption............................................................. 18
Regulation/Competition ....................................................... 18
Pricing................................................................................. 19
Power Transmission ............................................................ 19
Business Environment Rankings ........................................................21
Central And Eastern Europe..................................................... 21
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings ........................................................................................................ 21
Ukraine Power Rating .............................................................. 22
Potential Returns ................................................................. 22
Risks To Realisation Of Returns .......................................... 22
Legal Framework................................................................. 23
Infrastructure....................................................................... 24
Labour Force....................................................................... 25
Foreign Investment Policy ................................................... 26
Tax Regime .......................................................................... 27
Industry Forecast Scenario .................................................29
Ukraine Power Outlook ....................................................... 29
Generation........................................................................... 29
Gas-Fired ............................................................................ 29
Oil-Fired.............................................................................. 29
Coal-Fired ........................................................................... 29
Nuclear Energy.................................................................... 30
Hydro-Electric ..................................................................... 30
Renewable Energy ............................................................... 30
Power Costs......................................................................... 31
Transmission........................................................................ 31
Table: Ukraine's Power Sector, 2005-2012......................... 32
Table: Ukraine's Thermal Power Sector, 2005-2012 .......... 33
Table: Ukraine Non-Thermal Power Sector, 2005-2012 ..... 34
Table: Ukraine Power (costs) - Historic Data & Forecasts 34
Assumptions And Methodology............................................ 35
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario................................ 35
Long-Term Power Outlook .................................................. 35
Economic Outlook..........36
Table: Ukraine - Macroeconomic Activity, 2005-2012 ....... 38
Power Outlook: Long-Term forecasts.....................................................39
Global Snapshot................................................................... 39
Table: Global Summary, 2011-2018.................................... 39
Regional Outlook................................................................. 39
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Electricity Generation, 2011-2018 (twh) .................................................................................................... 40
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2011-2018 (mn toe)........................................................................................... 41
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2011-2018 (twh) ............................................................................................ 42
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Hydro-Electric Generation, 2011-208 (twh)............................................................................................... 43
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Nuclear Generation, 2011-2018 (twh)........................................................................................................ 44
Ukraine Country Overview.................................................. 44
Methodology And Risks To Forecasts.................................. 44
Competitive Landscape.........................................................46
Executive Summary.............................................................. 46
Ukrenergo............................................................................ 46
AES...................................................................................... 47
Country Snapshot: Ukraine Demographic Data................................................48
Section 1: Population........................................................... 48
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030........................ 48
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 ....................... 49
Section 2: Education And Healthcare.................................. 49
Table: Education, 2002-2005 .............................................. 49
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030........................................ 49
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power .................. 50
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006.......................... 50
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) ................ 50
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012.......................... 51
Appendix: Regional Demographic Data...............................................52
Table: Average Annual Wages, 1995-2004 (US$ PPP) ....... 52
Table: Population Growth, 1995-2030 ................................ 53
Table: Per Capita Household Spending, 1995-2004 (US$) . 54
Table: Per Capita Private Consumption, 1995-2004 (US$ PPP) ........................................................................................................................ 55
Table: GDP Growth, 1995-2010 (US$bn) ........................... 56
BMI Forecast Modelling.........................................................57
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts .......................... 57
Power Industry .................................................................... 57
Cross Checks ....................................................................... 58
Sources ..................................................................................... 58
Ukraine Political SWOT ........................................................ 7
Ukraine Economic SWOT...................................................... 7
Ukraine Business Environment SWOT................................... 8
Industry Overview ............9
Global ......................................................................................... 9
Table: Global Summary, 2005-2012...................................... 9
Central And Eastern Europe................................................ 10
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Generation, 2005-2012 (twh) .......................................................................................................... 11
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2005-2012 (twh) ............................................................................................ 12
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2005-2012 (mn toe)........................................................................................... 13
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Gas Consumption, 2005-2012 (bcm) .......................................................................................................... 14
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Coal Consumption, 2005-2012 (mn toe)..................................................................................................... 15
Table: Central And Eastern Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2005-2012 (twh) ..................................................................................................... 16
Market Overview - Ukraine ........................................................17
Primary Energy Demand ..................................................... 17
Power Generation................................................................ 17
Power Consumption............................................................. 18
Regulation/Competition ....................................................... 18
Pricing................................................................................. 19
Power Transmission ............................................................ 19
Business Environment Rankings ........................................................21
Central And Eastern Europe..................................................... 21
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings ........................................................................................................ 21
Ukraine Power Rating .............................................................. 22
Potential Returns ................................................................. 22
Risks To Realisation Of Returns .......................................... 22
Legal Framework................................................................. 23
Infrastructure....................................................................... 24
Labour Force....................................................................... 25
Foreign Investment Policy ................................................... 26
Tax Regime .......................................................................... 27
Industry Forecast Scenario .................................................29
Ukraine Power Outlook ....................................................... 29
Generation........................................................................... 29
Gas-Fired ............................................................................ 29
Oil-Fired.............................................................................. 29
Coal-Fired ........................................................................... 29
Nuclear Energy.................................................................... 30
Hydro-Electric ..................................................................... 30
Renewable Energy ............................................................... 30
Power Costs......................................................................... 31
Transmission........................................................................ 31
Table: Ukraine's Power Sector, 2005-2012......................... 32
Table: Ukraine's Thermal Power Sector, 2005-2012 .......... 33
Table: Ukraine Non-Thermal Power Sector, 2005-2012 ..... 34
Table: Ukraine Power (costs) - Historic Data & Forecasts 34
Assumptions And Methodology............................................ 35
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario................................ 35
Long-Term Power Outlook .................................................. 35
Economic Outlook..........36
Table: Ukraine - Macroeconomic Activity, 2005-2012 ....... 38
Power Outlook: Long-Term forecasts.....................................................39
Global Snapshot................................................................... 39
Table: Global Summary, 2011-2018.................................... 39
Regional Outlook................................................................. 39
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Electricity Generation, 2011-2018 (twh) .................................................................................................... 40
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2011-2018 (mn toe)........................................................................................... 41
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2011-2018 (twh) ............................................................................................ 42
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Hydro-Electric Generation, 2011-208 (twh)............................................................................................... 43
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Nuclear Generation, 2011-2018 (twh)........................................................................................................ 44
Ukraine Country Overview.................................................. 44
Methodology And Risks To Forecasts.................................. 44
Competitive Landscape.........................................................46
Executive Summary.............................................................. 46
Ukrenergo............................................................................ 46
AES...................................................................................... 47
Country Snapshot: Ukraine Demographic Data................................................48
Section 1: Population........................................................... 48
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030........................ 48
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 ....................... 49
Section 2: Education And Healthcare.................................. 49
Table: Education, 2002-2005 .............................................. 49
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030........................................ 49
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power .................. 50
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006.......................... 50
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) ................ 50
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012.......................... 51
Appendix: Regional Demographic Data...............................................52
Table: Average Annual Wages, 1995-2004 (US$ PPP) ....... 52
Table: Population Growth, 1995-2030 ................................ 53
Table: Per Capita Household Spending, 1995-2004 (US$) . 54
Table: Per Capita Private Consumption, 1995-2004 (US$ PPP) ........................................................................................................................ 55
Table: GDP Growth, 1995-2010 (US$bn) ........................... 56
BMI Forecast Modelling.........................................................57
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts .......................... 57
Power Industry .................................................................... 57
Cross Checks ....................................................................... 58
Sources ..................................................................................... 58
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