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United States Oil and Gas Report Q4 2008 (Business Monitor International)
- Market: Energy and Utilities
- Report Title: United States Oil and Gas Report Q4 2008
- View Report Summary: View Report Summary
- Report Type: Market Report
- Country: US
- Number of Pages: 81
Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................................7
SWOT Analysis................................................................................................................................................9
US Political SWOT ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 9
US Economic SWOT............................................................................................................................................................................................. 9
US Energy Market Overview .........................................................................................................................10
Global Oil Market Overview..........................................................................................................................15
Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) ........................................................................................................................................................... 17
Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d)............................................................................................................................................................... 18
Oil Price Outlook ...........................................................................................................................................19
OPEC Intransigence ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 19
Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2007/08........................................................................................................................................................... 21
Revised Forecasts .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 21
Table: Oil Price Forecasts.................................................................................................................................................................................. 22
Regional Energy Market Overview ...............................................................................................................23
Oil Supply And Demand........................................................................................................................................................................................... 23
Table: Developed Markets Oil Consumption (000b/d)........................................................................................................................................ 24
Table: Developed Markets Oil Production (000b/d)........................................................................................................................................... 25
Oil: Downstream ..................................................................................................................................................................................................... 26
Table: Developed Markets Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) ................................................................................................................................ 26
Gas Supply And Demand ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 27
Table: Developed Markets Gas Consumption (bcm)........................................................................................................................................... 27
Table: Developed Markets Gas Production (bcm).............................................................................................................................................. 28
Liquefied Natural Gas.............................................................................................................................................................................................. 29
Table: Developed Markets LNG Imports/(Exports) (bcm) .................................................................................................................................. 29
Industry Forecast Scenario ...........................................................................................................................30
Oil and Gas Reserves............................................................................................................................................................................................... 30
Oil Supply and Demand........................................................................................................................................................................................... 30
Gas Supply and Demand.......................................................................................................................................................................................... 31
LNG......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 32
Refining and Oil Products Trade ............................................................................................................................................................................. 34
Revenues/Import Costs............................................................................................................................................................................................. 35
Table: US Oil & Gas – Historical data & Forecasts .......................................................................................................................................... 36
Other Energy ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 37
Table: US Other Energy – Historical data & Forecasts ..................................................................................................................................... 38
Key Risks to BMI’s Forecast Scenario..................................................................................................................................................................... 38
Long-Term Oil & Gas Outlook ................................................................................................................................................................................ 38
Macroeconomic Outlook ...............................................................................................................................40
Table: United States - Economic Activity............................................................................................................................................................ 41
Regional Case Study.....................................................................................................................................42
US Election Focus - Obama To Usher In New Energy Era................................................................................................................................. 42
Competitive Landscape................................................................................................................................45
Executive Summary.................................................................................................................................................................................................. 45
Table: Key Players – US Oil And Gas Sector ..................................................................................................................................................... 46
Overview/State Role................................................................................................................................................................................................. 46
Table: Key Upstream Players ............................................................................................................................................................................. 51
Table: Key Downstream Players ........................................................................................................................................................................ 51
Company Monitor..........................................................................................................................................52
BP – Summary ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 52
ExxonMobil – Summary........................................................................................................................................................................................... 54
Chevron – Summary................................................................................................................................................................................................. 56
ConocoPhillips – Summary...................................................................................................................................................................................... 57
Shell – Summary ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 59
Marathon – Summary .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 60
Valero – Summary ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 61
Anadarko – Summary............................................................................................................................................................................................... 61
Western Refining – Summary................................................................................................................................................................................... 62
Gazprom – Summary ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 62
StatoilHydro – Summary.......................................................................................................................................................................................... 63
Glossary of Terms.........................................................................................................................................65
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology ...................................................................................................66
Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 66
Ratings Overview..................................................................................................................................................................................................... 66
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure ....................................................................................................................... 67
Indicators................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 68
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology................................................................................................. 68
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology ............................................................................................ 69
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts ...................................................................................................71
Global Oil Demand.................................................................................................................................................................................................. 71
Global Oil Demand (000b/d) .............................................................................................................................................................................. 71
Global Oil Production (000b/d).......................................................................................................................................................................... 72
Global Oil Supply .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 72
Global Gas Demand ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 73
Global Gas Demand (bcm) ................................................................................................................................................................................. 73
Global Gas Supply................................................................................................................................................................................................... 73
Global Gas Production (bcm)............................................................................................................................................................................. 74
Regional Oil Demand .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 74
North America Oil Consumption (000b/d) .......................................................................................................................................................... 74
Regional Oil Supply................................................................................................................................................................................................. 75
North America Oil Production (000b/d) ............................................................................................................................................................. 75
Regional Refining Capacity ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 75
North America Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) .................................................................................................................................................. 75
Regional Gas Demand ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 76
North America Gas Consumption (bcm) ............................................................................................................................................................. 76
Regional Gas Supply................................................................................................................................................................................................ 76
North America Gas Production (bcm) ................................................................................................................................................................ 76
US Country Overview .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 76
US Oil & Gas – Long-Term Forecasts................................................................................................................................................................ 77
US Other Energy – Long-Term Forecasts........................................................................................................................................................... 78
Methodology & Risks To Forecasts ......................................................................................................................................................................... 78
BMI Forecast Modelling................................................................................................................................79
How we generate our industry forecasts .................................................................................................................................................................. 79
Energy Industry ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 80
Cross checks ............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 80
Sources .................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 80
SWOT Analysis................................................................................................................................................9
US Political SWOT ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 9
US Economic SWOT............................................................................................................................................................................................. 9
US Energy Market Overview .........................................................................................................................10
Global Oil Market Overview..........................................................................................................................15
Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) ........................................................................................................................................................... 17
Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d)............................................................................................................................................................... 18
Oil Price Outlook ...........................................................................................................................................19
OPEC Intransigence ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 19
Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2007/08........................................................................................................................................................... 21
Revised Forecasts .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 21
Table: Oil Price Forecasts.................................................................................................................................................................................. 22
Regional Energy Market Overview ...............................................................................................................23
Oil Supply And Demand........................................................................................................................................................................................... 23
Table: Developed Markets Oil Consumption (000b/d)........................................................................................................................................ 24
Table: Developed Markets Oil Production (000b/d)........................................................................................................................................... 25
Oil: Downstream ..................................................................................................................................................................................................... 26
Table: Developed Markets Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) ................................................................................................................................ 26
Gas Supply And Demand ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 27
Table: Developed Markets Gas Consumption (bcm)........................................................................................................................................... 27
Table: Developed Markets Gas Production (bcm).............................................................................................................................................. 28
Liquefied Natural Gas.............................................................................................................................................................................................. 29
Table: Developed Markets LNG Imports/(Exports) (bcm) .................................................................................................................................. 29
Industry Forecast Scenario ...........................................................................................................................30
Oil and Gas Reserves............................................................................................................................................................................................... 30
Oil Supply and Demand........................................................................................................................................................................................... 30
Gas Supply and Demand.......................................................................................................................................................................................... 31
LNG......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 32
Refining and Oil Products Trade ............................................................................................................................................................................. 34
Revenues/Import Costs............................................................................................................................................................................................. 35
Table: US Oil & Gas – Historical data & Forecasts .......................................................................................................................................... 36
Other Energy ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 37
Table: US Other Energy – Historical data & Forecasts ..................................................................................................................................... 38
Key Risks to BMI’s Forecast Scenario..................................................................................................................................................................... 38
Long-Term Oil & Gas Outlook ................................................................................................................................................................................ 38
Macroeconomic Outlook ...............................................................................................................................40
Table: United States - Economic Activity............................................................................................................................................................ 41
Regional Case Study.....................................................................................................................................42
US Election Focus - Obama To Usher In New Energy Era................................................................................................................................. 42
Competitive Landscape................................................................................................................................45
Executive Summary.................................................................................................................................................................................................. 45
Table: Key Players – US Oil And Gas Sector ..................................................................................................................................................... 46
Overview/State Role................................................................................................................................................................................................. 46
Table: Key Upstream Players ............................................................................................................................................................................. 51
Table: Key Downstream Players ........................................................................................................................................................................ 51
Company Monitor..........................................................................................................................................52
BP – Summary ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 52
ExxonMobil – Summary........................................................................................................................................................................................... 54
Chevron – Summary................................................................................................................................................................................................. 56
ConocoPhillips – Summary...................................................................................................................................................................................... 57
Shell – Summary ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 59
Marathon – Summary .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 60
Valero – Summary ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 61
Anadarko – Summary............................................................................................................................................................................................... 61
Western Refining – Summary................................................................................................................................................................................... 62
Gazprom – Summary ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 62
StatoilHydro – Summary.......................................................................................................................................................................................... 63
Glossary of Terms.........................................................................................................................................65
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology ...................................................................................................66
Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 66
Ratings Overview..................................................................................................................................................................................................... 66
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure ....................................................................................................................... 67
Indicators................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 68
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology................................................................................................. 68
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology ............................................................................................ 69
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts ...................................................................................................71
Global Oil Demand.................................................................................................................................................................................................. 71
Global Oil Demand (000b/d) .............................................................................................................................................................................. 71
Global Oil Production (000b/d).......................................................................................................................................................................... 72
Global Oil Supply .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 72
Global Gas Demand ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 73
Global Gas Demand (bcm) ................................................................................................................................................................................. 73
Global Gas Supply................................................................................................................................................................................................... 73
Global Gas Production (bcm)............................................................................................................................................................................. 74
Regional Oil Demand .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 74
North America Oil Consumption (000b/d) .......................................................................................................................................................... 74
Regional Oil Supply................................................................................................................................................................................................. 75
North America Oil Production (000b/d) ............................................................................................................................................................. 75
Regional Refining Capacity ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 75
North America Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) .................................................................................................................................................. 75
Regional Gas Demand ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 76
North America Gas Consumption (bcm) ............................................................................................................................................................. 76
Regional Gas Supply................................................................................................................................................................................................ 76
North America Gas Production (bcm) ................................................................................................................................................................ 76
US Country Overview .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 76
US Oil & Gas – Long-Term Forecasts................................................................................................................................................................ 77
US Other Energy – Long-Term Forecasts........................................................................................................................................................... 78
Methodology & Risks To Forecasts ......................................................................................................................................................................... 78
BMI Forecast Modelling................................................................................................................................79
How we generate our industry forecasts .................................................................................................................................................................. 79
Energy Industry ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 80
Cross checks ............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 80
Sources .................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 80
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