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Venezuela Defence and Security Report 2008 (Business Monitor International)

  • Market: Defence
  • Report Title: Venezuela Defence and Security Report 2008
  • View Report Summary: View Report Summary
  • Report Type: Market Report
  • Country: Venezuela
  • Number of Pages: 45
Executive Summary .........5
SWOT Analysis.................6
Venezuela Political SWOT..................................................... 6
Venezuela Security SWOT...................................................... 7
Venezuela Defence Industry SWOT........................................ 8
Venezuela Economic SWOT Analysis.................................... 9
Venezuela Business Environment SWOT Analysis ................. 9
Political Overview...........10
Domestic Politics ...................................................................... 10
External Political Outlook ........................................................ 11
Security Risk Analysis...13
BMI’s Security Ratings ........................................................ 13
Risk Ratings ......................................................................... 13
Latin America Defence & Security Ratings.......................... 13
Latin America: State Terrorism Vulnerability Index............ 14
Venezuela Security Risk Rating................................................. 18
Venezuela Conflict Risk ....................................................... 18
Venezuela Terrorism Risk.................................................... 19
Venezuela Physical Safety Risk............................................ 20
Security Overview ..........21
Internal Security Situation ........................................................ 21
RCTV Decision Boosts Student Radicals ............................. 22
Drug Trafficking .................................................................. 22
External Security Situation ....................................................... 23
Table: Venezuela Regional Insurgent Groups...................... 23
Regional Relations............................................................... 23
Venezuela-US Relations....................................................... 26
Chávez And Regional Solidarity .......................................... 28
Venezuela-Colombia Relations ............................................ 30
Venezuela-Vatican Relations ............................................... 31
Market Structure & Defence Industry.....................................................32
Armed Forces ........................................................................... 32
Table: Regional Armed Forces (including conscripted) 20 32
Weapons of Mass Destruction.............................................. 33
International Deployment .................................................... 33
Market Overview ...................................................................... 33
Arms Trade Overview ............................................................... 33
Imports................................................................................. 33
Exports................................................................................. 34
Industry Trends and Developments........................................... 34
Procurement Trends & Developments ...................................... 35
Table: Comparison Of Military Equipment And Proposed Procurements ........................................................................................................... 35
Industry Forecast Scenario ......................................................38
Table: Venezuela Defence Sector – Historical Data & Forecasts ....................................................................................................................... 38
Army Enlargements.............................................................. 38
Government Expenditure ..................................................... 38
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario................................ 39
Macroeconomic Forecast ..................................................................40
Table: Venezuela – Economic Activity................................. 42
BMI Forecast Modelling .......................................................43
How we generate our industry forecasts .............................. 43
Defence Industry ....................................................................... 43
Sources ..................................................................................... 44

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