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Vietnam Oil and Gas Report Q4 2008 (Business Monitor International)
- Market: Energy and Utilities
- Report Title: Vietnam Oil and Gas Report Q4 2008
- View Report Summary: View Report Summary
- Report Type: Market Report
- Country: Vietnam
- Number of Pages: 97
Executive Summary .........7
SWOT Analysis.................9
Vietnam Political SWOT........................................................ 9
Vietnam Economics SWOT .................................................. 10
Vietnam Business Environment SWOT................................. 10
Vietnam Energy Market Overview ................................................................11
Global Oil Market Overview .............................................13
Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) ............................ 15
Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d)................................ 16
Oil Price Outlook ............17
OPEC Intransigence ................................................................. 17
Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2007/08............................ 19
Revised Forecasts ..................................................................... 19
Table: Oil Price Forecasts................................................... 20
Regional Energy Market Overview ..................................................21
Oil Supply And Demand............................................................ 21
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d) .................... 22
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d) ....................... 23
Oil: Downstream ...................................................................... 24
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)............. 24
Gas Supply And Demand .......................................................... 25
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm) ....................... 25
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm) .......................... 26
Liquefied Natural Gas............................................................... 27
Table: Asia Pacific LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm)............... 27
Business Environment Ranking ................................................................28
Asia Pacific Region................................................................... 28
Composite Scores................................................................. 28
Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating............... 29
Regional Downstream Business Environment Rating .......... 30
Upstream Scores.................................................................. 30
Downstream Scores ............................................................. 31
Vietnam Upstream Rating – Overview................................. 31
Vietnam Upstream Rating – Potential Returns .................... 31
Vietnam Upstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns ....... 31
Vietnam Downstream Rating – Overview ............................ 32
Vietnam Downstream Rating – Potential Returns................ 32
Vietnam Downstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns .. 32
Business Environment.............................................33
Legal Framework...................................................................... 33
Infrastructure............................................................................ 35
Labour Force............................................................................ 35
Foreign Investment Policy ................................................... 37
Tax Regime .......................................................................... 39
Industry Forecast Scenario .............................................40
Oil and Gas Reserves................................................................ 40
Oil Supply and Demand............................................................ 40
Gas Supply and Demand........................................................... 42
Refining/Oil Products Trade..................................................... 43
Revenues/Import Costs.............................................................. 44
Table: Vietnam Oil & Gas – Historical Data & Forecasts .. 45
Other Energy ............................................................................ 46
Table: Vietnam Other Energy – Historical Data & Forecasts ............................................................................................................................. 48
Key Risks to Forecast Scenario................................................. 48
Long-term Energy Outlook ....................................................... 49
Macroeconomic Outlook ...........................................................50
Table: Vietnam - Economic Activity..................................... 52
Regional Case Study.............................................53
Company Profile - COSL..................................................... 53
COSL RIG FLEET ............................................................... 58
Competitive Landscape..............................................59
Executive Summary................................................................... 59
Table: Key Players – Vietnam Oil & Gas Sector ................. 60
Overview/State Role.................................................................. 60
Table: Key Upstream Players .............................................. 61
Table: Key Downstream Players ......................................... 61
Company Monitor...........62
PetroVietnam............................................................................ 62
BP Vietnam............................................................................... 66
Petronas Vietnam...................................................................... 68
Zarubezhneft ............................................................................. 70
ConocoPhillips – Summary.................................................. 73
Mitsubishi – Summary ......................................................... 73
KNOC – Summary ............................................................... 74
Chevron – Summary............................................................. 74
Premier Oil – Summary ....................................................... 74
Soco International – Summary............................................. 75
Vietgazprom – Summary ...................................................... 76
Total – Summary.................................................................. 76
Others – Summary ............................................................... 76
Glossary of Terms..........78
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology ....................................................79
Introduction .............................................................................. 79
Ratings Overview...................................................................... 79
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure ....................................................................................................................... 80
Indicators.................................................................................. 81
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology................................................................................................. 81
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology ............................................................................................ 82
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-term forecasts ........................................................84
Global Oil Demand................................................................... 84
Global Oil Demand (000b/d) ............................................... 84
Global Oil Production (000b/d)........................................... 85
Global Oil Supply ..................................................................... 85
Global Gas Demand ................................................................. 86
Global Gas Demand (bcm) .................................................. 86
Global Gas Supply.................................................................... 86
Global Gas Production (bcm).............................................. 87
Regional Oil Demand ............................................................... 87
Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d) ............................... 88
Regional Oil Supply.................................................................. 88
Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d)................................... 89
Regional Refining Capacity ...................................................... 89
Oil: Downstream ...................................................................... 90
Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)........................ 90
Regional Gas Demand .............................................................. 90
Gas Supply And Demand .......................................................... 91
Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm) .................................. 91
Regional Gas Supply................................................................. 91
Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm)...................................... 92
Vietnam Country Overview....................................................... 92
Vietnam Oil & Gas – Long-term Forecasts ......................... 93
Vietnam Other Energy – Long-term Forecasts .................... 94
Methodology & Risks To Forecasts .......................................... 94
BMI Forecast Modelling ..............................................95
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ............................... 95
Energy Industry ........................................................................ 96
Cross checks ............................................................................. 96
Sources ..................................................................................... 96
SWOT Analysis.................9
Vietnam Political SWOT........................................................ 9
Vietnam Economics SWOT .................................................. 10
Vietnam Business Environment SWOT................................. 10
Vietnam Energy Market Overview ................................................................11
Global Oil Market Overview .............................................13
Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) ............................ 15
Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d)................................ 16
Oil Price Outlook ............17
OPEC Intransigence ................................................................. 17
Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2007/08............................ 19
Revised Forecasts ..................................................................... 19
Table: Oil Price Forecasts................................................... 20
Regional Energy Market Overview ..................................................21
Oil Supply And Demand............................................................ 21
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d) .................... 22
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d) ....................... 23
Oil: Downstream ...................................................................... 24
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)............. 24
Gas Supply And Demand .......................................................... 25
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm) ....................... 25
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm) .......................... 26
Liquefied Natural Gas............................................................... 27
Table: Asia Pacific LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm)............... 27
Business Environment Ranking ................................................................28
Asia Pacific Region................................................................... 28
Composite Scores................................................................. 28
Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating............... 29
Regional Downstream Business Environment Rating .......... 30
Upstream Scores.................................................................. 30
Downstream Scores ............................................................. 31
Vietnam Upstream Rating – Overview................................. 31
Vietnam Upstream Rating – Potential Returns .................... 31
Vietnam Upstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns ....... 31
Vietnam Downstream Rating – Overview ............................ 32
Vietnam Downstream Rating – Potential Returns................ 32
Vietnam Downstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns .. 32
Business Environment.............................................33
Legal Framework...................................................................... 33
Infrastructure............................................................................ 35
Labour Force............................................................................ 35
Foreign Investment Policy ................................................... 37
Tax Regime .......................................................................... 39
Industry Forecast Scenario .............................................40
Oil and Gas Reserves................................................................ 40
Oil Supply and Demand............................................................ 40
Gas Supply and Demand........................................................... 42
Refining/Oil Products Trade..................................................... 43
Revenues/Import Costs.............................................................. 44
Table: Vietnam Oil & Gas – Historical Data & Forecasts .. 45
Other Energy ............................................................................ 46
Table: Vietnam Other Energy – Historical Data & Forecasts ............................................................................................................................. 48
Key Risks to Forecast Scenario................................................. 48
Long-term Energy Outlook ....................................................... 49
Macroeconomic Outlook ...........................................................50
Table: Vietnam - Economic Activity..................................... 52
Regional Case Study.............................................53
Company Profile - COSL..................................................... 53
COSL RIG FLEET ............................................................... 58
Competitive Landscape..............................................59
Executive Summary................................................................... 59
Table: Key Players – Vietnam Oil & Gas Sector ................. 60
Overview/State Role.................................................................. 60
Table: Key Upstream Players .............................................. 61
Table: Key Downstream Players ......................................... 61
Company Monitor...........62
PetroVietnam............................................................................ 62
BP Vietnam............................................................................... 66
Petronas Vietnam...................................................................... 68
Zarubezhneft ............................................................................. 70
ConocoPhillips – Summary.................................................. 73
Mitsubishi – Summary ......................................................... 73
KNOC – Summary ............................................................... 74
Chevron – Summary............................................................. 74
Premier Oil – Summary ....................................................... 74
Soco International – Summary............................................. 75
Vietgazprom – Summary ...................................................... 76
Total – Summary.................................................................. 76
Others – Summary ............................................................... 76
Glossary of Terms..........78
Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology ....................................................79
Introduction .............................................................................. 79
Ratings Overview...................................................................... 79
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure ....................................................................................................................... 80
Indicators.................................................................................. 81
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology................................................................................................. 81
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology ............................................................................................ 82
Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-term forecasts ........................................................84
Global Oil Demand................................................................... 84
Global Oil Demand (000b/d) ............................................... 84
Global Oil Production (000b/d)........................................... 85
Global Oil Supply ..................................................................... 85
Global Gas Demand ................................................................. 86
Global Gas Demand (bcm) .................................................. 86
Global Gas Supply.................................................................... 86
Global Gas Production (bcm).............................................. 87
Regional Oil Demand ............................................................... 87
Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d) ............................... 88
Regional Oil Supply.................................................................. 88
Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d)................................... 89
Regional Refining Capacity ...................................................... 89
Oil: Downstream ...................................................................... 90
Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)........................ 90
Regional Gas Demand .............................................................. 90
Gas Supply And Demand .......................................................... 91
Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm) .................................. 91
Regional Gas Supply................................................................. 91
Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm)...................................... 92
Vietnam Country Overview....................................................... 92
Vietnam Oil & Gas – Long-term Forecasts ......................... 93
Vietnam Other Energy – Long-term Forecasts .................... 94
Methodology & Risks To Forecasts .......................................... 94
BMI Forecast Modelling ..............................................95
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts ............................... 95
Energy Industry ........................................................................ 96
Cross checks ............................................................................. 96
Sources ..................................................................................... 96
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