Executive Summary .6
SWOT Analysis7
Vietnam Tourism SWOT.. 7
Vietnam Political SWOT.. 7
Vietnam Economic SWOT .. 8
Vietnam Business Environment SWOT. 8
Industry Forecast Scenario.9
Table: Expenditure And Economic Impact Data And Forecasts, 2005-2013 9
Inbound 10
Table: Arrivals At National Borders, 2005-2013 (‘000) . 10
Table: Arrival Of Tourists At National Borders, By Region ('000). 11
Outbound 11
Table: Total Resident Departures By Region, 2005-2013 (‘000). 11
Table: Resident Departures By Destination Country, 2005-2013 (`000).. 12
Market Overview – Travel 13
Commercial Airlines. 13
Inbound Tourism 15
Global Oil Products Market Review. 16
Table Global Oil Prices, 2003-2013 (US$ per barrel) .. 20
Market Overview – Hospitality .21
Accommodation.. 21
Regional Case Study: Intercontinental Hotels Group (Asia Pacific) .. 22
Gaming 23
Infrastructure 23
Health Update 25
H1N1 Virus .. 25
H5N1 Virus .. 25
Business Environment Ratings ..28
Tourism Business Environment Ratings . 28
Table: Asia Travel And Tourism Business Environment Ratings 28
BMI’s Security Ratings 28
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings. 29
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index . 30
Composite. 30
Regional rank . 30
Trend .. 30
Danger rating . 30
Vietnam’s Security Risk . 30
South East Asia Regional Security Overview.. 31
Currency Forecast..35
Table: BMI’s Vietnam Currency Forecasts 35
Monetary Policy.. 36
Table: Vietnam – Monetary Policy, 2005-2013 .. 39
Exchange Rate Policy .. 39
Table: Vietnam – Exchange Rates, 2005-2013 (annual average) 41
Global Assumptions .42
Table: BMI’s Global Assumptions, 2007-2013 .. 42
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2008-2011 . 43
Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average).. 44
Table: Key Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average against US dollar) . 44
Company Profiles45
Saigontourist. 45
Vietnam Airlines. 46
Huong Giang Tourist Company.. 48
Methodology ..49
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts. 49
Tourism Industry ... 49
Tourism Ratings – Methodology 50
Table: Tourism Business Environment Indicators . 51
Table: Weighting of Components .. 52
Sources .. 52
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